Despite President Trump's recent public appeals to Saudi Arabia—highlighted in his March 27 Miami speech urging Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to join—and the March 26 introduction of the bipartisan Abraham Accords Defense Cooperation Act by Senators Budd and Ernst to bolster ties and attract new members, no country has advanced formal negotiations or announcements toward accession by June 30. Ongoing US-Israel military actions against Iran have reinforced cooperation among existing signatories like the UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, Sudan, Kazakhstan, and Somaliland but heightened regional risks, stalling expansions amid Saudi demands for Palestinian progress. Traders' 80.5% "No" consensus reflects this lack of verifiable diplomatic momentum over the past 30 days and the compressed timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Despite President Trump's recent public appeals to Saudi Arabia—highlighted in his March 27 Miami speech urging Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to join—and the March 26 introduction of the bipartisan Abraham Accords Defense Cooperation Act by Senators Budd and Ernst to bolster ties and attract new members, no country has advanced formal negotiations or announcements toward accession by June 30. Ongoing US-Israel military actions against Iran have reinforced cooperation among existing signatories like the UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, Sudan, Kazakhstan, and Somaliland but heightened regional risks, stalling expansions amid Saudi demands for Palestinian progress. Traders' 80.5% "No" consensus reflects this lack of verifiable diplomatic momentum over the past 30 days and the compressed timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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