Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project an overnight low of 16°C in Ankara on August 21, aligning with the market's 99% implied probability on that threshold. This positioning reflects model consensus under clear skies and typical late-summer radiative cooling, where daytime highs near 33°C give way to efficient nighttime temperature drops consistent with the city's continental climate and historical August minima averaging 15–16°C. Limited atmospheric moisture and light winds support minimal deviation. Unforeseen increases in cloud cover or shifts in wind patterns could modestly raise the minimum by reducing heat loss, though ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日安卡拉最低气温？
8月21日安卡拉最低气温？
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$5,211 交易量
$5,211 交易量
2026-08-21
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$5,211 交易量
$5,211 交易量
2026-08-21
11°C or below
$340 交易量
No
12°C
$211 交易量
No
13°C
$246 交易量
No
14°C
$856 交易量
No
15°C
$812 交易量
No
16°C
$453 交易量
Yes
17°C
$285 交易量
No
18°C
$357 交易量
No
19°C
$198 交易量
No
20°C
$335 交易量
No
21°C or higher
$1,117 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project an overnight low of 16°C in Ankara on August 21, aligning with the market's 99% implied probability on that threshold. This positioning reflects model consensus under clear skies and typical late-summer radiative cooling, where daytime highs near 33°C give way to efficient nighttime temperature drops consistent with the city's continental climate and historical August minima averaging 15–16°C. Limited atmospheric moisture and light winds support minimal deviation. Unforeseen increases in cloud cover or shifts in wind patterns could modestly raise the minimum by reducing heat loss, though ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
交易量
$5,211结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project an overnight low of 16°C in Ankara on August 21, aligning with the market's 99% implied probability on that threshold. This positioning reflects model consensus under clear skies and typical late-summer radiative cooling, where daytime highs near 33°C give way to efficient nighttime temperature drops consistent with the city's continental climate and historical August minima averaging 15–16°C. Limited atmospheric moisture and light winds support minimal deviation. Unforeseen increases in cloud cover or shifts in wind patterns could modestly raise the minimum by reducing heat loss, though ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,211结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project an overnight low of 16°C in Ankara on August 21, aligning with the market's 99% implied probability on that threshold. This positioning reflects model consensus under clear skies and typical late-summer radiative cooling, where daytime highs near 33°C give way to efficient nighttime temperature drops consistent with the city's continental climate and historical August minima averaging 15–16°C. Limited atmospheric moisture and light winds support minimal deviation. Unforeseen increases in cloud cover or shifts in wind patterns could modestly raise the minimum by reducing heat loss, though ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题