Recent short-range model guidance from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies in the Sichuan Basin, supporting a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on August 25. Persistent summer moisture and weak steering flow limit sharp drops, while any late-day convection or increased cloud cover could suppress the low by 1–2°C; conversely, clearer breaks would favor readings closer to 26°C. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight minima of 22–26°C, placing current trader balance between sub-20°C scenarios (requiring stronger cooling than recent guidance) and 30°C-plus outcomes (demanding sustained heat advection atypical for the basin) in roughly equal contention amid model spread on boundary-layer moisture and wind. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日成都最低气温？
8月25日成都最低气温？
20°C or below 86%
30°C or higher 84%
21°C 50%
26°C 31%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
20°C or below
86%
21°C
50%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
28%
26°C
31%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
84%
20°C or below 86%
30°C or higher 84%
21°C 50%
26°C 31%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
20°C or below
$5 交易量
86%
21°C
$5 交易量
50%
22°C
$0 交易量
26%
23°C
$0 交易量
26%
24°C
$0 交易量
26%
25°C
$0 交易量
28%
26°C
$0 交易量
31%
27°C
$0 交易量
26%
28°C
$0 交易量
26%
29°C
$5 交易量
2%
30°C or higher
$5 交易量
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies in the Sichuan Basin, supporting a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on August 25. Persistent summer moisture and weak steering flow limit sharp drops, while any late-day convection or increased cloud cover could suppress the low by 1–2°C; conversely, clearer breaks would favor readings closer to 26°C. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight minima of 22–26°C, placing current trader balance between sub-20°C scenarios (requiring stronger cooling than recent guidance) and 30°C-plus outcomes (demanding sustained heat advection atypical for the basin) in roughly equal contention amid model spread on boundary-layer moisture and wind. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies in the Sichuan Basin, supporting a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on August 25. Persistent summer moisture and weak steering flow limit sharp drops, while any late-day convection or increased cloud cover could suppress the low by 1–2°C; conversely, clearer breaks would favor readings closer to 26°C. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight minima of 22–26°C, placing current trader balance between sub-20°C scenarios (requiring stronger cooling than recent guidance) and 30°C-plus outcomes (demanding sustained heat advection atypical for the basin) in roughly equal contention amid model spread on boundary-layer moisture and wind. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent short-range model guidance from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies in the Sichuan Basin, supporting a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on August 25. Persistent summer moisture and weak steering flow limit sharp drops, while any late-day convection or increased cloud cover could suppress the low by 1–2°C; conversely, clearer breaks would favor readings closer to 26°C. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight minima of 22–26°C, placing current trader balance between sub-20°C scenarios (requiring stronger cooling than recent guidance) and 30°C-plus outcomes (demanding sustained heat advection atypical for the basin) in roughly equal contention amid model spread on boundary-layer moisture and wind. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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