Forecast models from sources including NOAA-aligned and European centers project a minimum temperature in Chengdu of 20–21°C on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southerly winds, and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Late-September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 19°C, but current steering patterns and absence of stronger cold-air advection support slightly milder readings. Model consensus narrows the range to this narrow band, with minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts creating the tight market spread between 19°C and 21°C outcomes. Official Chengdu station data, updated hourly through the night, will determine resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日成都最低气温？
9月21日成都最低气温？
19°C 97%
17°C 94%
18°C 94%
16℃或以下 90%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
16℃或以下
90%
17°C
94%
18°C
94%
19°C
97%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
19°C 97%
17°C 94%
18°C 94%
16℃或以下 90%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
16℃或以下
$0 交易量
90%
17°C
$0 交易量
94%
18°C
$0 交易量
94%
19°C
$0 交易量
97%
20°C
$0 交易量
50%
21°C
$12 交易量
50%
22°C
$46 交易量
<1%
23°C
$31 交易量
<1%
24°C
$31 交易量
<1%
25°C
$31 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$31 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including NOAA-aligned and European centers project a minimum temperature in Chengdu of 20–21°C on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southerly winds, and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Late-September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 19°C, but current steering patterns and absence of stronger cold-air advection support slightly milder readings. Model consensus narrows the range to this narrow band, with minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts creating the tight market spread between 19°C and 21°C outcomes. Official Chengdu station data, updated hourly through the night, will determine resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$182结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including NOAA-aligned and European centers project a minimum temperature in Chengdu of 20–21°C on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southerly winds, and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Late-September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 19°C, but current steering patterns and absence of stronger cold-air advection support slightly milder readings. Model consensus narrows the range to this narrow band, with minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts creating the tight market spread between 19°C and 21°C outcomes. Official Chengdu station data, updated hourly through the night, will determine resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$182结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models from sources including NOAA-aligned and European centers project a minimum temperature in Chengdu of 20–21°C on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southerly winds, and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Late-September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 19°C, but current steering patterns and absence of stronger cold-air advection support slightly milder readings. Model consensus narrows the range to this narrow band, with minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts creating the tight market spread between 19°C and 21°C outcomes. Official Chengdu station data, updated hourly through the night, will determine resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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