Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorms over Guangzhou through August 25, driven by tropical moisture and weak steering flows. These conditions typically suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting overnight lows near the 25–27°C seasonal norm rather than extreme deviations. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between sub-22°C and 32°C+ outcomes because model runs show minor timing differences in rain bands that could either enhance cooling or maintain elevated dew points, while historical records (lowest 22°C in 2015) underscore the narrow margin for resolution. Updated NMC guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日广州最低气温？
8月25日广州最低气温？
32°C或更高 95%
22°C或以下 92%
31°C 46%
26°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
22°C或以下
92%
23°C
24%
24°C
24%
25°C
24%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
24%
29°C
24%
30°C
2%
31°C
46%
32°C或更高
95%
32°C或更高 95%
22°C或以下 92%
31°C 46%
26°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
22°C或以下
$5 交易量
92%
23°C
$0 交易量
24%
24°C
$0 交易量
24%
25°C
$0 交易量
24%
26°C
$0 交易量
27%
27°C
$0 交易量
27%
28°C
$0 交易量
24%
29°C
$0 交易量
24%
30°C
$5 交易量
2%
31°C
$5 交易量
46%
32°C或更高
$5 交易量
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorms over Guangzhou through August 25, driven by tropical moisture and weak steering flows. These conditions typically suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting overnight lows near the 25–27°C seasonal norm rather than extreme deviations. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between sub-22°C and 32°C+ outcomes because model runs show minor timing differences in rain bands that could either enhance cooling or maintain elevated dew points, while historical records (lowest 22°C in 2015) underscore the narrow margin for resolution. Updated NMC guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorms over Guangzhou through August 25, driven by tropical moisture and weak steering flows. These conditions typically suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting overnight lows near the 25–27°C seasonal norm rather than extreme deviations. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between sub-22°C and 32°C+ outcomes because model runs show minor timing differences in rain bands that could either enhance cooling or maintain elevated dew points, while historical records (lowest 22°C in 2015) underscore the narrow margin for resolution. Updated NMC guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorms over Guangzhou through August 25, driven by tropical moisture and weak steering flows. These conditions typically suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting overnight lows near the 25–27°C seasonal norm rather than extreme deviations. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between sub-22°C and 32°C+ outcomes because model runs show minor timing differences in rain bands that could either enhance cooling or maintain elevated dew points, while historical records (lowest 22°C in 2015) underscore the narrow margin for resolution. Updated NMC guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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