Current forecasts from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration indicate minimum temperatures in Guangzhou on August 24 likely ranging 25–27°C amid ongoing East Asian monsoon moisture, high humidity near 90–95%, and widespread cloud cover that suppresses overnight radiative cooling. Persistent light to moderate rain further stabilizes the boundary layer, limiting diurnal swings consistent with August climatology where typical lows hover near 26°C. Trader consensus across the closely matched 25–28°C outcomes and the notable allocation to 20°C or below reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing, urban heat-island effects at official stations, and subtle model spread rather than any disruptive synoptic shift. Updated model runs and monitoring agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these market-implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日广州最低气温?
20°C或以下 76%
23°C 35%
24°C 35%
27°C 21%
20°C或以下
76%
21°C
4%
22°C
13%
23°C
35%
24°C
35%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
21%
28°C
20%
29°C
20%
30°C或以上
2%
20°C或以下 76%
23°C 35%
24°C 35%
27°C 21%
20°C或以下
76%
21°C
4%
22°C
13%
23°C
35%
24°C
35%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
21%
28°C
20%
29°C
20%
30°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration indicate minimum temperatures in Guangzhou on August 24 likely ranging 25–27°C amid ongoing East Asian monsoon moisture, high humidity near 90–95%, and widespread cloud cover that suppresses overnight radiative cooling. Persistent light to moderate rain further stabilizes the boundary layer, limiting diurnal swings consistent with August climatology where typical lows hover near 26°C. Trader consensus across the closely matched 25–28°C outcomes and the notable allocation to 20°C or below reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing, urban heat-island effects at official stations, and subtle model spread rather than any disruptive synoptic shift. Updated model runs and monitoring agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these market-implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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