Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate moderate rain and persistent cloud cover over Guangzhou on August 22, 2026, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting the market's tight clustering around 26–28°C lows. High humidity in this subtropical monsoon environment, combined with urban heat retention, reduces the typical diurnal temperature drop, while steering patterns and instability introduce model spread between slightly cooler or warmer nocturnal minima. Official China Meteorological Administration station data will determine resolution, with the latest runs showing consensus near the historical August average low of 26°C but sensitive to any last-minute changes in precipitation timing or wind.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日广州最低气温?
28°C 54%
26°C 27%
27°C 14%
25°C 14%
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
11%
25°C
14%
26°C
27%
27°C
33%
28°C
31%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
<1%
28°C 54%
26°C 27%
27°C 14%
25°C 14%
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
11%
25°C
14%
26°C
27%
27°C
33%
28°C
31%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate moderate rain and persistent cloud cover over Guangzhou on August 22, 2026, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting the market's tight clustering around 26–28°C lows. High humidity in this subtropical monsoon environment, combined with urban heat retention, reduces the typical diurnal temperature drop, while steering patterns and instability introduce model spread between slightly cooler or warmer nocturnal minima. Official China Meteorological Administration station data will determine resolution, with the latest runs showing consensus near the historical August average low of 26°C but sensitive to any last-minute changes in precipitation timing or wind.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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