Forecast uncertainty in numerical weather models is splitting trader sentiment on Houston's August 24 overnight low, with nearly equal odds on a cool 69°F or below versus an unusually warm 88°F or higher minimum. Clear skies and light winds could allow strong radiative cooling after sunset, potentially dropping temperatures well below the typical late-summer average near 76°F, while abundant tropical moisture, cloud cover, or a stalled front would trap heat and humidity near the surface. Recent model runs show divergence on steering patterns and instability, with some solutions favoring a brief cool-air intrusion and others maintaining southerly flow. NOAA and National Weather Service updates through the next 24 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日休斯顿最低温度?
69°F或更低 60%
88°F或更高 60%
80-81°F 37%
70-71°F 30%
69°F或更低
60%
70-71°F
30%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
2%
88°F或更高
60%
69°F或更低 60%
88°F或更高 60%
80-81°F 37%
70-71°F 30%
69°F或更低
60%
70-71°F
30%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
2%
88°F或更高
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast uncertainty in numerical weather models is splitting trader sentiment on Houston's August 24 overnight low, with nearly equal odds on a cool 69°F or below versus an unusually warm 88°F or higher minimum. Clear skies and light winds could allow strong radiative cooling after sunset, potentially dropping temperatures well below the typical late-summer average near 76°F, while abundant tropical moisture, cloud cover, or a stalled front would trap heat and humidity near the surface. Recent model runs show divergence on steering patterns and instability, with some solutions favoring a brief cool-air intrusion and others maintaining southerly flow. NOAA and National Weather Service updates through the next 24 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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