Current forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project Houston's minimum temperature on August 23, 2026, near the seasonal average of 77–79°F, driven by typical late-summer southerly flow, high humidity, and limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Trader consensus on the extremes—71°F or below versus 90°F or higher—reflects model uncertainty around a potential tropical system threat noted in long-range outlooks, which could enhance cloud cover and moisture to suppress cooling or, conversely, allow brief drier air for greater nocturnal drops. Historical data shows August lows rarely fall below 72°F or exceed 80°F without major synoptic shifts, keeping mid-range outcomes like 76–79°F scientifically favored yet thinly traded amid the balanced tail probabilities. Updated short-range model runs and any tropical advisories remain key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日休斯顿的最低温度?
71°F或更低 85%
90°F或更高 84%
86-87°F 48%
72-73°F 47%
71°F或更低
85%
72-73°F
47%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
48%
88-89°F
45%
90°F或更高
84%
71°F或更低 85%
90°F或更高 84%
86-87°F 48%
72-73°F 47%
71°F或更低
85%
72-73°F
47%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
48%
88-89°F
45%
90°F或更高
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project Houston's minimum temperature on August 23, 2026, near the seasonal average of 77–79°F, driven by typical late-summer southerly flow, high humidity, and limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Trader consensus on the extremes—71°F or below versus 90°F or higher—reflects model uncertainty around a potential tropical system threat noted in long-range outlooks, which could enhance cloud cover and moisture to suppress cooling or, conversely, allow brief drier air for greater nocturnal drops. Historical data shows August lows rarely fall below 72°F or exceed 80°F without major synoptic shifts, keeping mid-range outcomes like 76–79°F scientifically favored yet thinly traded amid the balanced tail probabilities. Updated short-range model runs and any tropical advisories remain key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题