Trader consensus on a 26°C minimum temperature in Lucknow on August 21 reflects strong alignment in India Meteorological Department forecasts and observational data during peak southwest monsoon conditions. Typical August lows hover near 26–28°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling, with recent model runs and station reports converging on this threshold rather than cooler or warmer extremes. Historical climatology supports this range, as monsoon moisture suppresses sharp temperature drops. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include unexpected clear-sky periods enhancing radiative cooling below 26°C or delayed rainfall allowing greater daytime heating to influence the daily minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日勒克瑙的最低温度？
8月21日勒克瑙的最低温度？
26°C 100.0%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
$2,804 交易量
$2,804 交易量
2026-08-21
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
$2,804 交易量
$2,804 交易量
2026-08-21
22°C or below
$343 交易量
No
23°C
$269 交易量
No
24°C
$233 交易量
No
25°C
$100 交易量
No
26°C
$346 交易量
Yes
27°C
$196 交易量
No
28°C
$701 交易量
No
29°C
$155 交易量
No
30°C
$150 交易量
No
31°C
$105 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$205 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 26°C minimum temperature in Lucknow on August 21 reflects strong alignment in India Meteorological Department forecasts and observational data during peak southwest monsoon conditions. Typical August lows hover near 26–28°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling, with recent model runs and station reports converging on this threshold rather than cooler or warmer extremes. Historical climatology supports this range, as monsoon moisture suppresses sharp temperature drops. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include unexpected clear-sky periods enhancing radiative cooling below 26°C or delayed rainfall allowing greater daytime heating to influence the daily minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
交易量
$2,804结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 26°C minimum temperature in Lucknow on August 21 reflects strong alignment in India Meteorological Department forecasts and observational data during peak southwest monsoon conditions. Typical August lows hover near 26–28°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling, with recent model runs and station reports converging on this threshold rather than cooler or warmer extremes. Historical climatology supports this range, as monsoon moisture suppresses sharp temperature drops. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include unexpected clear-sky periods enhancing radiative cooling below 26°C or delayed rainfall allowing greater daytime heating to influence the daily minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,804结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on a 26°C minimum temperature in Lucknow on August 21 reflects strong alignment in India Meteorological Department forecasts and observational data during peak southwest monsoon conditions. Typical August lows hover near 26–28°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling, with recent model runs and station reports converging on this threshold rather than cooler or warmer extremes. Historical climatology supports this range, as monsoon moisture suppresses sharp temperature drops. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include unexpected clear-sky periods enhancing radiative cooling below 26°C or delayed rainfall allowing greater daytime heating to influence the daily minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题