Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will experience clear to mostly clear skies overnight into August 28, 2026, following a cooler, cloudier period on the 27th with southwest winds and possible light precipitation. This setup promotes strong radiative cooling under dry air and light winds, with projected overnight lows centering near 12–14 °C—below the long-term average of roughly 18 °C but above the 1956 record low of 12.3 °C. Trader sentiment clusters around the 9–12 °C outcomes because small differences in dew-point depression, wind speed, or the precise timing of clearing can shift the minimum by 2–3 °C. Upcoming evening model runs from ECMWF and GFS will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日马德里最低气温?
9°C or below 57%
12°C 53%
10°C 43%
13°C 42%
9°C or below
57%
10°C
43%
11°C
42%
12°C
53%
13°C
42%
14°C
36%
15°C
34%
16°C
36%
17°C
21%
18°C
19%
19°C or higher
8%
9°C or below 57%
12°C 53%
10°C 43%
13°C 42%
9°C or below
57%
10°C
43%
11°C
42%
12°C
53%
13°C
42%
14°C
36%
15°C
34%
16°C
36%
17°C
21%
18°C
19%
19°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will experience clear to mostly clear skies overnight into August 28, 2026, following a cooler, cloudier period on the 27th with southwest winds and possible light precipitation. This setup promotes strong radiative cooling under dry air and light winds, with projected overnight lows centering near 12–14 °C—below the long-term average of roughly 18 °C but above the 1956 record low of 12.3 °C. Trader sentiment clusters around the 9–12 °C outcomes because small differences in dew-point depression, wind speed, or the precise timing of clearing can shift the minimum by 2–3 °C. Upcoming evening model runs from ECMWF and GFS will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题