**Current forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and global models indicate an overnight minimum near 11–13°C for Moscow on September 20, 2026, with daytime highs of 19–21°C under southwesterly flow and partly to mostly cloudy skies.** This places the likely daily low well above the tightly clustered market outcomes (8°C at 51.0%, 5°C or below at 50.0%, 6–7°C near 50%). The narrow spread in implied probabilities reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum at the official station, driven by variable radiative cooling rates overnight—modulated by cloud cover, humidity near 80–90% in early hours, and light winds of 3–7 m/s that limit mixing. Urban heat-island effects and exact timing of the coldest hour can shift the recorded value by 1–3°C relative to rural or model grid points. Historical September 20 lows average ~7°C but recent patterns and current advection of milder Atlantic air support a milder outcome, with any further cooling hinging on unexpected clear-sky windows before dawn.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日莫斯科最低气温？
9月20日莫斯科最低气温？
5°C或以下 90%
6°C 90%
7°C 90%
8°C 55%
$4,258 交易量
$4,258 交易量
2026-09-20
5°C或以下
90%
6°C
90%
7°C
90%
8°C
55%
9°C
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C或更高
<1%
5°C或以下 90%
6°C 90%
7°C 90%
8°C 55%
$4,258 交易量
$4,258 交易量
2026-09-20
5°C或以下
$0 交易量
90%
6°C
$0 交易量
90%
7°C
$15 交易量
90%
8°C
$0 交易量
55%
9°C
$3,712 交易量
1%
10°C
$193 交易量
<1%
11°C
$276 交易量
<1%
12°C
$25 交易量
<1%
13°C
$37 交易量
<1%
14°C
$0 交易量
<1%
15°C或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and global models indicate an overnight minimum near 11–13°C for Moscow on September 20, 2026, with daytime highs of 19–21°C under southwesterly flow and partly to mostly cloudy skies.** This places the likely daily low well above the tightly clustered market outcomes (8°C at 51.0%, 5°C or below at 50.0%, 6–7°C near 50%).
The narrow spread in implied probabilities reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum at the official station, driven by variable radiative cooling rates overnight—modulated by cloud cover, humidity near 80–90% in early hours, and light winds of 3–7 m/s that limit mixing. Urban heat-island effects and exact timing of the coldest hour can shift the recorded value by 1–3°C relative to rural or model grid points. Historical September 20 lows average ~7°C but recent patterns and current advection of milder Atlantic air support a milder outcome, with any further cooling hinging on unexpected clear-sky windows before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$4,258结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and global models indicate an overnight minimum near 11–13°C for Moscow on September 20, 2026, with daytime highs of 19–21°C under southwesterly flow and partly to mostly cloudy skies.** This places the likely daily low well above the tightly clustered market outcomes (8°C at 51.0%, 5°C or below at 50.0%, 6–7°C near 50%).
The narrow spread in implied probabilities reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum at the official station, driven by variable radiative cooling rates overnight—modulated by cloud cover, humidity near 80–90% in early hours, and light winds of 3–7 m/s that limit mixing. Urban heat-island effects and exact timing of the coldest hour can shift the recorded value by 1–3°C relative to rural or model grid points. Historical September 20 lows average ~7°C but recent patterns and current advection of milder Atlantic air support a milder outcome, with any further cooling hinging on unexpected clear-sky windows before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,258结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Current forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and global models indicate an overnight minimum near 11–13°C for Moscow on September 20, 2026, with daytime highs of 19–21°C under southwesterly flow and partly to mostly cloudy skies.** This places the likely daily low well above the tightly clustered market outcomes (8°C at 51.0%, 5°C or below at 50.0%, 6–7°C near 50%). The narrow spread in implied probabilities reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum at the official station, driven by variable radiative cooling rates overnight—modulated by cloud cover, humidity near 80–90% in early hours, and light winds of 3–7 m/s that limit mixing. Urban heat-island effects and exact timing of the coldest hour can shift the recorded value by 1–3°C relative to rural or model grid points. Historical September 20 lows average ~7°C but recent patterns and current advection of milder Atlantic air support a milder outcome, with any further cooling hinging on unexpected clear-sky windows before dawn.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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