Current forecast models from sources including GFS and regional analyses point to a September 6 minimum near 10–11°C in Moscow amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and light westerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup supports the near-even market split between a low of 6°C or below and one of 16°C or higher, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, precipitation timing, or air-mass advection could alter the overnight low by several degrees. Historical September minima average about 9.7°C, with greater uncertainty arising from model spread on boundary-layer mixing and any late-day clearing. Fresh model runs and official Hydrometeorological Center updates will provide the next key data points for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日莫斯科最低气温?
16°C或更高 97%
7°C 50%
8°C 50%
12°C 50%
6°C或以下
14%
7°C
50%
8°C
50%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
28%
12°C
50%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C
1%
16°C或更高
97%
16°C或更高 97%
7°C 50%
8°C 50%
12°C 50%
6°C或以下
14%
7°C
50%
8°C
50%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
28%
12°C
50%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C
1%
16°C或更高
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources including GFS and regional analyses point to a September 6 minimum near 10–11°C in Moscow amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and light westerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup supports the near-even market split between a low of 6°C or below and one of 16°C or higher, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, precipitation timing, or air-mass advection could alter the overnight low by several degrees. Historical September minima average about 9.7°C, with greater uncertainty arising from model spread on boundary-layer mixing and any late-day clearing. Fresh model runs and official Hydrometeorological Center updates will provide the next key data points for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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