Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate Seoul’s morning low on June 15 will reach 19°C under stable early-summer conditions with light winds and minimal overnight cooling. This aligns with seasonal baselines for mid-June, when typical overnight lows range 18–20°C ahead of daytime highs near 30°C, and current observations show no incoming cold fronts or anomalous humidity shifts. Traders assign 99% implied probability to 19°C because multiple model runs and real-time station data converge tightly on this value, with resolution tied to the official daily minimum recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. Only an unexpected late surge in northerly flow or instrumentation revision could realistically alter the outcome before final reporting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月15日首尔最低气温?
19°C 99.6%
18°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$21,596 交易量
$21,596 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
19°C 99.6%
18°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$21,596 交易量
$21,596 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate Seoul’s morning low on June 15 will reach 19°C under stable early-summer conditions with light winds and minimal overnight cooling. This aligns with seasonal baselines for mid-June, when typical overnight lows range 18–20°C ahead of daytime highs near 30°C, and current observations show no incoming cold fronts or anomalous humidity shifts. Traders assign 99% implied probability to 19°C because multiple model runs and real-time station data converge tightly on this value, with resolution tied to the official daily minimum recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. Only an unexpected late surge in northerly flow or instrumentation revision could realistically alter the outcome before final reporting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题