Singapore's equatorial climate produces highly stable overnight lows, with the long-term August climatological minimum near 25°C driven by consistent high humidity, minimal radiative cooling under cloud cover or monsoon flow, and typical sea-breeze moderation. Official monitoring and model consensus for 31 August 2026 align with this baseline, showing no significant synoptic cooling or extreme rainfall expected to depress temperatures below the historical central tendency. Trader positioning at 25°C with near-certainty therefore reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of routine diurnal ranges rather than forecast anomalies. A realistic challenge would require an atypical surge of drier air or prolonged clear skies allowing extra nocturnal cooling, conditions not indicated in current guidance and historically rare in late August.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡8月31日的最低温度?
25°C 100.0%
23°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$2,785 交易量
$2,785 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
23°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$2,785 交易量
$2,785 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Singapore's equatorial climate produces highly stable overnight lows, with the long-term August climatological minimum near 25°C driven by consistent high humidity, minimal radiative cooling under cloud cover or monsoon flow, and typical sea-breeze moderation. Official monitoring and model consensus for 31 August 2026 align with this baseline, showing no significant synoptic cooling or extreme rainfall expected to depress temperatures below the historical central tendency. Trader positioning at 25°C with near-certainty therefore reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of routine diurnal ranges rather than forecast anomalies. A realistic challenge would require an atypical surge of drier air or prolonged clear skies allowing extra nocturnal cooling, conditions not indicated in current guidance and historically rare in late August.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题