Tokyo’s mid-June climatology, with Japan Meteorological Agency normals placing daily minimum temperatures near 19°C at this time of year, underpins the strong market consensus around a 20°C low. Current JMA and ensemble forecasts for June 18 show overnight conditions stabilizing in the 18–21°C range amid typical early-summer humidity and light winds, with no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push readings lower. Above-normal seasonal temperatures projected nationwide further support this narrow band. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted frontal passage or heavier nocturnal rainfall that enhances evaporative cooling, though model consensus and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月18日东京最低气温？
6月18日东京最低气温？
20°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$23,917 交易量
$23,917 交易量
2026-06-18
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或以上
否
20°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$23,917 交易量
$23,917 交易量
2026-06-18
15°C或以下
$553 交易量
否
16°C
$1,205 交易量
否
17°C
$1,624 交易量
否
18°C
$1,082 交易量
否
19°C
$2,075 交易量
否
20°C
$2,972 交易量
是
21°C
$8,965 交易量
否
22°C
$2,906 交易量
否
23°C
$1,913 交易量
否
24°C
$308 交易量
否
25°C或以上
$313 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo’s mid-June climatology, with Japan Meteorological Agency normals placing daily minimum temperatures near 19°C at this time of year, underpins the strong market consensus around a 20°C low. Current JMA and ensemble forecasts for June 18 show overnight conditions stabilizing in the 18–21°C range amid typical early-summer humidity and light winds, with no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push readings lower. Above-normal seasonal temperatures projected nationwide further support this narrow band. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted frontal passage or heavier nocturnal rainfall that enhances evaporative cooling, though model consensus and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$23,917结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo’s mid-June climatology, with Japan Meteorological Agency normals placing daily minimum temperatures near 19°C at this time of year, underpins the strong market consensus around a 20°C low. Current JMA and ensemble forecasts for June 18 show overnight conditions stabilizing in the 18–21°C range amid typical early-summer humidity and light winds, with no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push readings lower. Above-normal seasonal temperatures projected nationwide further support this narrow band. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted frontal passage or heavier nocturnal rainfall that enhances evaporative cooling, though model consensus and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$23,917结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Tokyo’s mid-June climatology, with Japan Meteorological Agency normals placing daily minimum temperatures near 19°C at this time of year, underpins the strong market consensus around a 20°C low. Current JMA and ensemble forecasts for June 18 show overnight conditions stabilizing in the 18–21°C range amid typical early-summer humidity and light winds, with no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push readings lower. Above-normal seasonal temperatures projected nationwide further support this narrow band. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted frontal passage or heavier nocturnal rainfall that enhances evaporative cooling, though model consensus and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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