Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system centered over central Europe are driving radiative cooling overnight into August 27, with light easterly winds of 2–4 m/s limiting mixing and allowing surface temperatures to drop under minimal cloud cover. Multiple forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, converge on minimums between 11–14 °C, with the tightest clustering around 11–13 °C reflecting small differences in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind timing. Historical August climatology for Warsaw places typical overnight lows near 15 °C, so current conditions represent below-average radiative loss. The closely matched market-implied odds for 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C capture remaining ensemble spread ahead of final IMGW observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日华沙最低气温？
8月27日华沙最低气温？
11°C 30%
12°C 29%
13°C 25%
10°C 23%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
7°C or below
14%
8°C
1%
9°C
6%
10°C
23%
11°C
30%
12°C
29%
13°C
25%
14°C
15%
15°C
9%
16°C
11%
17°C or higher
2%
11°C 30%
12°C 29%
13°C 25%
10°C 23%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
7°C or below
$135 交易量
14%
8°C
$205 交易量
1%
9°C
$30 交易量
6%
10°C
$0 交易量
23%
11°C
$0 交易量
30%
12°C
$0 交易量
29%
13°C
$0 交易量
25%
14°C
$0 交易量
15%
15°C
$0 交易量
9%
16°C
$41 交易量
11%
17°C or higher
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system centered over central Europe are driving radiative cooling overnight into August 27, with light easterly winds of 2–4 m/s limiting mixing and allowing surface temperatures to drop under minimal cloud cover. Multiple forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, converge on minimums between 11–14 °C, with the tightest clustering around 11–13 °C reflecting small differences in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind timing. Historical August climatology for Warsaw places typical overnight lows near 15 °C, so current conditions represent below-average radiative loss. The closely matched market-implied odds for 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C capture remaining ensemble spread ahead of final IMGW observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$416结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system centered over central Europe are driving radiative cooling overnight into August 27, with light easterly winds of 2–4 m/s limiting mixing and allowing surface temperatures to drop under minimal cloud cover. Multiple forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, converge on minimums between 11–14 °C, with the tightest clustering around 11–13 °C reflecting small differences in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind timing. Historical August climatology for Warsaw places typical overnight lows near 15 °C, so current conditions represent below-average radiative loss. The closely matched market-implied odds for 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C capture remaining ensemble spread ahead of final IMGW observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$416结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETClear skies and a stable high-pressure system centered over central Europe are driving radiative cooling overnight into August 27, with light easterly winds of 2–4 m/s limiting mixing and allowing surface temperatures to drop under minimal cloud cover. Multiple forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, converge on minimums between 11–14 °C, with the tightest clustering around 11–13 °C reflecting small differences in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind timing. Historical August climatology for Warsaw places typical overnight lows near 15 °C, so current conditions represent below-average radiative loss. The closely matched market-implied odds for 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C capture remaining ensemble spread ahead of final IMGW observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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