Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate the overnight low in Warsaw will likely settle near 14°C under persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and moderate westerly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions, tied to a passing frontal system, have kept daytime highs around 20–21°C and prevented stronger temperature drops, aligning with the market's strong 78% implied probability on 14°C. Cooler outcomes at 12°C or below retain meaningful support if skies clear more than expected or winds weaken overnight, while warmer bins above 15°C show negligible trader interest given current observational trends and model consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日华沙最低气温？
9月20日华沙最低气温？
14°C 93.9%
11°C或以下 68%
13°C 46%
12°C 30%
$6,723 交易量
$6,723 交易量
2026-09-20
11°C或以下
68%
12°C
30%
13°C
25%
14°C
78%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或更高
<1%
14°C 93.9%
11°C或以下 68%
13°C 46%
12°C 30%
$6,723 交易量
$6,723 交易量
2026-09-20
11°C或以下
$0 交易量
68%
12°C
$0 交易量
30%
13°C
$5 交易量
25%
14°C
$6,412 交易量
78%
15°C
$112 交易量
<1%
16°C
$37 交易量
<1%
17°C
$31 交易量
<1%
18°C
$37 交易量
<1%
19°C
$37 交易量
<1%
20°C
$37 交易量
<1%
21°C或更高
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate the overnight low in Warsaw will likely settle near 14°C under persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and moderate westerly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions, tied to a passing frontal system, have kept daytime highs around 20–21°C and prevented stronger temperature drops, aligning with the market's strong 78% implied probability on 14°C. Cooler outcomes at 12°C or below retain meaningful support if skies clear more than expected or winds weaken overnight, while warmer bins above 15°C show negligible trader interest given current observational trends and model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$6,723结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate the overnight low in Warsaw will likely settle near 14°C under persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and moderate westerly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions, tied to a passing frontal system, have kept daytime highs around 20–21°C and prevented stronger temperature drops, aligning with the market's strong 78% implied probability on 14°C. Cooler outcomes at 12°C or below retain meaningful support if skies clear more than expected or winds weaken overnight, while warmer bins above 15°C show negligible trader interest given current observational trends and model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,723结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate the overnight low in Warsaw will likely settle near 14°C under persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and moderate westerly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions, tied to a passing frontal system, have kept daytime highs around 20–21°C and prevented stronger temperature drops, aligning with the market's strong 78% implied probability on 14°C. Cooler outcomes at 12°C or below retain meaningful support if skies clear more than expected or winds weaken overnight, while warmer bins above 15°C show negligible trader interest given current observational trends and model consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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