The closely matched trader consensus between 85-90 percent turnout and below 85 percent stems from Malta's recent pattern of declining participation amid a snap general election on May 30. The 2022 vote marked the lowest registered turnout in six decades at 85.5 percent, down from 92 percent in 2017, raising questions about whether that figure established a new baseline. The compressed five-week campaign after parliament's dissolution in late April has limited opportunities for traditional party mobilization drives by Labour and the Nationalists, both of which maintain strong grassroots networks. With polls showing a competitive race and no major late developments altering voter engagement signals, the market continues to price in this uncertainty around recent historical levels.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于85-90% 50%
<85% 46%
90-95% 8.8%
95%+ <1%
$25,931 交易量
$25,931 交易量
<85%
48%
85-90%
50%
90-95%
9%
95%+
<1%
85-90% 50%
<85% 46%
90-95% 8.8%
95%+ <1%
$25,931 交易量
$25,931 交易量
<85%
48%
85-90%
50%
90-95%
9%
95%+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)
市场开放时间: May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched trader consensus between 85-90 percent turnout and below 85 percent stems from Malta's recent pattern of declining participation amid a snap general election on May 30. The 2022 vote marked the lowest registered turnout in six decades at 85.5 percent, down from 92 percent in 2017, raising questions about whether that figure established a new baseline. The compressed five-week campaign after parliament's dissolution in late April has limited opportunities for traditional party mobilization drives by Labour and the Nationalists, both of which maintain strong grassroots networks. With polls showing a competitive race and no major late developments altering voter engagement signals, the market continues to price in this uncertainty around recent historical levels.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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