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icon for 墨西哥立法选举获胜者

墨西哥立法选举获胜者

icon for 墨西哥立法选举获胜者

墨西哥立法选举获胜者

莫雷纳 89.7%

国家行动党(PAN) 8.9%

制度革命党(PRI) <1%

公民运动党 <1%

Polymarket

$98,891 交易量

莫雷纳 89.7%

国家行动党(PAN) 8.9%

制度革命党(PRI) <1%

公民运动党 <1%

Polymarket

$98,891 交易量

icon for 莫雷纳

莫雷纳

$55,412 交易量

90%

icon for 国家行动党(PAN)

国家行动党(PAN)

$15,664 交易量

9%

icon for 制度革命党(PRI)

制度革命党(PRI)

$7,219 交易量

1%

icon for 公民运动党

公民运动党

$8,408 交易量

<1%

icon for 工人党(PT)

工人党(PT)

$6,047 交易量

<1%

icon for PVEM

PVEM

$6,141 交易量

<1%

A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains overwhelming trader consensus as the likely winner of Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because the party and its allies currently hold federal executive power, command majorities in both chambers of Congress, and govern most states following the 2024 results. Recent opinion polls continue to show Morena with a wide national lead over PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano, reflecting sustained voter support for the ruling coalition’s legislative and policy agenda. Opposition parties remain fragmented and trail significantly in head-to-head comparisons, limiting their ability to challenge for the largest share of seats. Morena’s internal preparations, including a July 2026 anti-corruption vetting process for 2027 candidates, have reinforced perceptions of organizational discipline ahead of the formal campaign start. No major scandals or shifts in coalition dynamics have emerged in the past month to alter these standings, leaving the market’s implied probabilities aligned with polling trends and the structural advantages of incumbency.

A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
交易量
$98,891
结束日期
2027-06-06
市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains overwhelming trader consensus as the likely winner of Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because the party and its allies currently hold federal executive power, command majorities in both chambers of Congress, and govern most states following the 2024 results. Recent opinion polls continue to show Morena with a wide national lead over PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano, reflecting sustained voter support for the ruling coalition’s legislative and policy agenda. Opposition parties remain fragmented and trail significantly in head-to-head comparisons, limiting their ability to challenge for the largest share of seats. Morena’s internal preparations, including a July 2026 anti-corruption vetting process for 2027 candidates, have reinforced perceptions of organizational discipline ahead of the formal campaign start. No major scandals or shifts in coalition dynamics have emerged in the past month to alter these standings, leaving the market’s implied probabilities aligned with polling trends and the structural advantages of incumbency.

A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
交易量
$98,891
结束日期
2027-06-06
市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"墨西哥立法选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"莫雷纳",概率为 90%,其次是"国家行动党(PAN)",概率为 9%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 90¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 90%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"墨西哥立法选举获胜者"已产生 $98.9K 的总交易量(自May 15, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"墨西哥立法选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"墨西哥立法选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"莫雷纳",概率为 90%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 90%。紧随其后的结果是"国家行动党(PAN)",概率为 9%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"墨西哥立法选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。