Morena holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the June 2027 Mexican legislative election due to its sustained polling advantage and structural dominance. Recent surveys show the party attracting 38–45% support, well ahead of PAN and other opposition groups, reflecting its control of the presidency under Claudia Sheinbaum, a supermajority in the current Chamber of Deputies, and governorships in 23 states. Internal preparations, including candidate vetting announced in July 2026, have reinforced organizational cohesion ahead of the campaign launch. Fragmented opposition parties and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment have kept alternatives at single-digit implied probabilities, consistent with historical patterns of incumbent-party strength in Mexican midterms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于莫雷纳 89.3%
国家行动党（PAN） 8.9%
制度革命党（PRI） <1%
公民运动党 <1%
$98,891 交易量
$98,891 交易量
2027-06-05
莫雷纳
89%
国家行动党（PAN）
9%
制度革命党（PRI）
1%
公民运动党
<1%
工人党（PT）
<1%
PVEM
<1%
莫雷纳 89.3%
国家行动党（PAN） 8.9%
制度革命党（PRI） <1%
公民运动党 <1%
$98,891 交易量
$98,891 交易量
2027-06-05
莫雷纳
$55,412 交易量
89%
国家行动党（PAN）
$15,664 交易量
9%
制度革命党（PRI）
$7,219 交易量
1%
公民运动党
$8,408 交易量
<1%
工人党（PT）
$6,047 交易量
<1%
PVEM
$6,141 交易量
<1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the June 2027 Mexican legislative election due to its sustained polling advantage and structural dominance. Recent surveys show the party attracting 38–45% support, well ahead of PAN and other opposition groups, reflecting its control of the presidency under Claudia Sheinbaum, a supermajority in the current Chamber of Deputies, and governorships in 23 states. Internal preparations, including candidate vetting announced in July 2026, have reinforced organizational cohesion ahead of the campaign launch. Fragmented opposition parties and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment have kept alternatives at single-digit implied probabilities, consistent with historical patterns of incumbent-party strength in Mexican midterms.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
交易量
$98,891结束日期
2027-06-06市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the June 2027 Mexican legislative election due to its sustained polling advantage and structural dominance. Recent surveys show the party attracting 38–45% support, well ahead of PAN and other opposition groups, reflecting its control of the presidency under Claudia Sheinbaum, a supermajority in the current Chamber of Deputies, and governorships in 23 states. Internal preparations, including candidate vetting announced in July 2026, have reinforced organizational cohesion ahead of the campaign launch. Fragmented opposition parties and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment have kept alternatives at single-digit implied probabilities, consistent with historical patterns of incumbent-party strength in Mexican midterms.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
交易量
$98,891结束日期
2027-06-06市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the June 2027 Mexican legislative election due to its sustained polling advantage and structural dominance. Recent surveys show the party attracting 38–45% support, well ahead of PAN and other opposition groups, reflecting its control of the presidency under Claudia Sheinbaum, a supermajority in the current Chamber of Deputies, and governorships in 23 states. Internal preparations, including candidate vetting announced in July 2026, have reinforced organizational cohesion ahead of the campaign launch. Fragmented opposition parties and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment have kept alternatives at single-digit implied probabilities, consistent with historical patterns of incumbent-party strength in Mexican midterms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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