The closely matched probabilities in the Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial race reflect a fragmented field of eight confirmed candidates ahead of the October 2026 vote, with the incumbent Eduardo Riedel (PP) holding a polling edge but facing viable opposition from Fábio Trad (PT), João Henrique Catan (NOVO), and others. Recent party conventions and candidate registrations have sustained this dispersion, as no single contender has consolidated broad support or triggered major shifts in voter intentions. Upcoming polling releases, coalition formations, and first-round debate performances could widen gaps by clarifying frontrunner viability or boosting lesser-known names, while the absence of decisive late momentum keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched across the board.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于经济学家雷纳托·戈麦斯 39%
若昂·亨里克·卡坦 39%
丹尼尔·莱梅斯 38%
德尔西迪奥·阿马拉尔 38%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
经济学家雷纳托·戈麦斯
39%
若昂·亨里克·卡坦
39%
丹尼尔·莱梅斯
38%
德尔西迪奥·阿马拉尔
38%
爱杜阿多·里德尔
38%
法比奥·特拉德
38%
Jeferson Bezerra
38%
卢西恩·雷森德
38%
经济学家雷纳托·戈麦斯 39%
若昂·亨里克·卡坦 39%
丹尼尔·莱梅斯 38%
德尔西迪奥·阿马拉尔 38%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
经济学家雷纳托·戈麦斯
$0 交易量
39%
若昂·亨里克·卡坦
$0 交易量
39%
丹尼尔·莱梅斯
$0 交易量
38%
德尔西迪奥·阿马拉尔
$0 交易量
38%
爱杜阿多·里德尔
$0 交易量
38%
法比奥·特拉德
$0 交易量
38%
Jeferson Bezerra
$0 交易量
38%
卢西恩·雷森德
$0 交易量
38%
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The closely matched probabilities in the Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial race reflect a fragmented field of eight confirmed candidates ahead of the October 2026 vote, with the incumbent Eduardo Riedel (PP) holding a polling edge but facing viable opposition from Fábio Trad (PT), João Henrique Catan (NOVO), and others. Recent party conventions and candidate registrations have sustained this dispersion, as no single contender has consolidated broad support or triggered major shifts in voter intentions. Upcoming polling releases, coalition formations, and first-round debate performances could widen gaps by clarifying frontrunner viability or boosting lesser-known names, while the absence of decisive late momentum keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched across the board.
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The closely matched probabilities in the Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial race reflect a fragmented field of eight confirmed candidates ahead of the October 2026 vote, with the incumbent Eduardo Riedel (PP) holding a polling edge but facing viable opposition from Fábio Trad (PT), João Henrique Catan (NOVO), and others. Recent party conventions and candidate registrations have sustained this dispersion, as no single contender has consolidated broad support or triggered major shifts in voter intentions. Upcoming polling releases, coalition formations, and first-round debate performances could widen gaps by clarifying frontrunner viability or boosting lesser-known names, while the absence of decisive late momentum keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched across the board.
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities in the Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial race reflect a fragmented field of eight confirmed candidates ahead of the October 2026 vote, with the incumbent Eduardo Riedel (PP) holding a polling edge but facing viable opposition from Fábio Trad (PT), João Henrique Catan (NOVO), and others. Recent party conventions and candidate registrations have sustained this dispersion, as no single contender has consolidated broad support or triggered major shifts in voter intentions. Upcoming polling releases, coalition formations, and first-round debate performances could widen gaps by clarifying frontrunner viability or boosting lesser-known names, while the absence of decisive late momentum keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched across the board.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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