The Mato Grosso gubernatorial race remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with trader probabilities clustered near even across more than a dozen declared candidates reflecting a fragmented field and substantial undecided voters in recent surveys. Incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) faces challenges from Wellington Fagundes (PL), Natasha Slhessarenko (PSD), Sargento Laudicério (Agir), Rafaell Milas (Missão), Maurício Coelho and others formalized through recent party conventions. Early polling shows modest leads for Fagundes and Pivetta but with no majority support and elevated shares for “none of these” or blank responses. Key dynamics include potential second-round alliances, agricultural policy priorities in the state, and turnout patterns among rural and urban blocs that could consolidate support or keep outcomes fluid until closer to election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于萨金托·劳迪谢里奥 46%
韦灵顿·法贡德斯 46%
奥塔维亚诺·皮维塔 44%
娜塔莎博士 43%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
萨金托·劳迪谢里奥
46%
韦灵顿·法贡德斯
46%
奥塔维亚诺·皮维塔
44%
娜塔莎博士
43%
拉法埃尔·米拉斯
42%
毛里西奥·科埃略
41%
萨金托·劳迪谢里奥 46%
韦灵顿·法贡德斯 46%
奥塔维亚诺·皮维塔 44%
娜塔莎博士 43%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
萨金托·劳迪谢里奥
$0 交易量
46%
韦灵顿·法贡德斯
$0 交易量
46%
奥塔维亚诺·皮维塔
$0 交易量
44%
娜塔莎博士
$0 交易量
43%
拉法埃尔·米拉斯
$0 交易量
42%
毛里西奥·科埃略
$0 交易量
41%
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Mato Grosso gubernatorial race remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with trader probabilities clustered near even across more than a dozen declared candidates reflecting a fragmented field and substantial undecided voters in recent surveys. Incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) faces challenges from Wellington Fagundes (PL), Natasha Slhessarenko (PSD), Sargento Laudicério (Agir), Rafaell Milas (Missão), Maurício Coelho and others formalized through recent party conventions. Early polling shows modest leads for Fagundes and Pivetta but with no majority support and elevated shares for “none of these” or blank responses. Key dynamics include potential second-round alliances, agricultural policy priorities in the state, and turnout patterns among rural and urban blocs that could consolidate support or keep outcomes fluid until closer to election day.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Mato Grosso gubernatorial race remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with trader probabilities clustered near even across more than a dozen declared candidates reflecting a fragmented field and substantial undecided voters in recent surveys. Incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) faces challenges from Wellington Fagundes (PL), Natasha Slhessarenko (PSD), Sargento Laudicério (Agir), Rafaell Milas (Missão), Maurício Coelho and others formalized through recent party conventions. Early polling shows modest leads for Fagundes and Pivetta but with no majority support and elevated shares for “none of these” or blank responses. Key dynamics include potential second-round alliances, agricultural policy priorities in the state, and turnout patterns among rural and urban blocs that could consolidate support or keep outcomes fluid until closer to election day.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Mato Grosso gubernatorial race remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with trader probabilities clustered near even across more than a dozen declared candidates reflecting a fragmented field and substantial undecided voters in recent surveys. Incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) faces challenges from Wellington Fagundes (PL), Natasha Slhessarenko (PSD), Sargento Laudicério (Agir), Rafaell Milas (Missão), Maurício Coelho and others formalized through recent party conventions. Early polling shows modest leads for Fagundes and Pivetta but with no majority support and elevated shares for “none of these” or blank responses. Key dynamics include potential second-round alliances, agricultural policy priorities in the state, and turnout patterns among rural and urban blocs that could consolidate support or keep outcomes fluid until closer to election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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