Trader consensus prices PT, PRI, and PAN in a narrow band for second place behind Morena in the June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because opposition forces remain fragmented while the ruling coalition shows internal strains. Recent polling from May 2026 indicated PAN and MC competitive with or ahead of PRI in national vote intention, sustaining market uncertainty. The March 2026 defeat of President Sheinbaum’s electoral reform—rejected even by coalition partners PT and PVEM—highlighted divisions that could affect seat allocation and turnout dynamics. With one year until voting, shifts in opposition coordination or further coalition friction could separate the contenders before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于PT 47%
PRI 45%
MC 38%
PVEM 33%

PAN
43%

PRI
45%

PT
47%

PVEM
33%

MC
38%

Morena
38%
PT 47%
PRI 45%
MC 38%
PVEM 33%

PAN
43%

PRI
45%

PT
47%

PVEM
33%

MC
38%

Morena
38%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
市场开放时间: May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices PT, PRI, and PAN in a narrow band for second place behind Morena in the June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because opposition forces remain fragmented while the ruling coalition shows internal strains. Recent polling from May 2026 indicated PAN and MC competitive with or ahead of PRI in national vote intention, sustaining market uncertainty. The March 2026 defeat of President Sheinbaum’s electoral reform—rejected even by coalition partners PT and PVEM—highlighted divisions that could affect seat allocation and turnout dynamics. With one year until voting, shifts in opposition coordination or further coalition friction could separate the contenders before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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