Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "Michael" surpassing $80 million in domestic opening weekend gross at 65% implied probability, driven by surging presales exceeding early expectations and updated three-week tracking indicating north of $60 million as of early April. Jaafar Jackson's striking resemblance to his uncle Michael Jackson, combined with Antoine Fuqua's direction and Lionsgate's aggressive IMAX marketing, has fueled massive fan mobilization for the King of Pop biopic, positioning it to shatter Bohemian Rhapsody's $51 million musical biopic record. Strong pre-release buzz from trailers and private screenings bolsters optimism, though final walkups, critical reviews, and minimal competition through April 24 release remain key swing factors amid entertainment's rapid shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于"Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office
>80m 65%
75-80m 21%
70-75m 12%
65-70m 7.3%
最新
最新
2026-04-27
<60m
4%
60-65m
7%
65-70m
7%
70-75m
12%
75-80m
15%
>80m
65%
>80m 65%
75-80m 21%
70-75m 12%
65-70m 7.3%
最新
最新
2026-04-27
<60m
$2,089 交易量
4%
60-65m
$358 交易量
7%
65-70m
$344 交易量
7%
70-75m
$475 交易量
12%
75-80m
$394 交易量
15%
>80m
$5,903 交易量
65%
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 24 - April 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "Michael" surpassing $80 million in domestic opening weekend gross at 65% implied probability, driven by surging presales exceeding early expectations and updated three-week tracking indicating north of $60 million as of early April. Jaafar Jackson's striking resemblance to his uncle Michael Jackson, combined with Antoine Fuqua's direction and Lionsgate's aggressive IMAX marketing, has fueled massive fan mobilization for the King of Pop biopic, positioning it to shatter Bohemian Rhapsody's $51 million musical biopic record. Strong pre-release buzz from trailers and private screenings bolsters optimism, though final walkups, critical reviews, and minimal competition through April 24 release remain key swing factors amid entertainment's rapid shifts.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 24 - April 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
交易量
$9,563结束日期
2026-04-27市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 24 - April 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "Michael" surpassing $80 million in domestic opening weekend gross at 65% implied probability, driven by surging presales exceeding early expectations and updated three-week tracking indicating north of $60 million as of early April. Jaafar Jackson's striking resemblance to his uncle Michael Jackson, combined with Antoine Fuqua's direction and Lionsgate's aggressive IMAX marketing, has fueled massive fan mobilization for the King of Pop biopic, positioning it to shatter Bohemian Rhapsody's $51 million musical biopic record. Strong pre-release buzz from trailers and private screenings bolsters optimism, though final walkups, critical reviews, and minimal competition through April 24 release remain key swing factors amid entertainment's rapid shifts.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 24 - April 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$9,563结束日期
2026-04-27市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "Michael" surpassing $80 million in domestic opening weekend gross at 65% implied probability, driven by surging presales exceeding early expectations and updated three-week tracking indicating north of $60 million as of early April. Jaafar Jackson's striking resemblance to his uncle Michael Jackson, combined with Antoine Fuqua's direction and Lionsgate's aggressive IMAX marketing, has fueled massive fan mobilization for the King of Pop biopic, positioning it to shatter Bohemian Rhapsody's $51 million musical biopic record. Strong pre-release buzz from trailers and private screenings bolsters optimism, though final walkups, critical reviews, and minimal competition through April 24 release remain key swing factors amid entertainment's rapid shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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