Elon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 “comes out in 10 days” anchors current trader sentiment around mid-September targets, following the rapid August 12 launch of the 1.5-trillion-parameter Grok 4.6. The 2.1-trillion-parameter successor incorporates supplemental SpaceX engineering data for claimed advantages in real-world technical reasoning, positioning xAI’s aggressive monthly cadence against OpenAI and Anthropic releases. Market-implied odds cluster tightly across September 10–23 dates because historical timelines have shifted and full confirmation—API availability, benchmarks, and official documentation—remains pending, leaving room for last-minute adjustments amid intensifying frontier-model competition.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日 43%
9月12日 42.8%
在2026年9月9日或之前 43%
9月16日 43%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
在2026年9月9日或之前
43%
9月10日
43%
9月11日
41%
9月12日
43%
9 月 13 日
24%
9月14日
39%
9月15日
27%
9月16日
43%
9月17日
41%
9月18日
27%
9月19日
22%
9月20日
42%
9月21日
42%
9 月 22 日
39%
9月23日
43%
9月24日
39%
9月25日
42%
9月26日
38%
9月27日
23%
9月28日
39%
9 月 29 日
40%
9月30日
24%
截至9月30日没有发布
38%
9月10日 43%
9月12日 42.8%
在2026年9月9日或之前 43%
9月16日 43%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
在2026年9月9日或之前
$0 交易量
43%
9月10日
$0 交易量
43%
9月11日
$0 交易量
41%
9月12日
$317 交易量
43%
9 月 13 日
$55 交易量
24%
9月14日
$0 交易量
39%
9月15日
$0 交易量
27%
9月16日
$0 交易量
43%
9月17日
$0 交易量
41%
9月18日
$0 交易量
27%
9月19日
$0 交易量
22%
9月20日
$0 交易量
42%
9月21日
$0 交易量
42%
9 月 22 日
$0 交易量
39%
9月23日
$0 交易量
43%
9月24日
$0 交易量
39%
9月25日
$0 交易量
42%
9月26日
$0 交易量
38%
9月27日
$0 交易量
23%
9月28日
$0 交易量
39%
9 月 29 日
$0 交易量
40%
9月30日
$0 交易量
24%
截至9月30日没有发布
$0 交易量
38%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Elon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 “comes out in 10 days” anchors current trader sentiment around mid-September targets, following the rapid August 12 launch of the 1.5-trillion-parameter Grok 4.6. The 2.1-trillion-parameter successor incorporates supplemental SpaceX engineering data for claimed advantages in real-world technical reasoning, positioning xAI’s aggressive monthly cadence against OpenAI and Anthropic releases. Market-implied odds cluster tightly across September 10–23 dates because historical timelines have shifted and full confirmation—API availability, benchmarks, and official documentation—remains pending, leaving room for last-minute adjustments amid intensifying frontier-model competition.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
交易量
$372结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Elon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 “comes out in 10 days” anchors current trader sentiment around mid-September targets, following the rapid August 12 launch of the 1.5-trillion-parameter Grok 4.6. The 2.1-trillion-parameter successor incorporates supplemental SpaceX engineering data for claimed advantages in real-world technical reasoning, positioning xAI’s aggressive monthly cadence against OpenAI and Anthropic releases. Market-implied odds cluster tightly across September 10–23 dates because historical timelines have shifted and full confirmation—API availability, benchmarks, and official documentation—remains pending, leaving room for last-minute adjustments amid intensifying frontier-model competition.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$372结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ETElon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 “comes out in 10 days” anchors current trader sentiment around mid-September targets, following the rapid August 12 launch of the 1.5-trillion-parameter Grok 4.6. The 2.1-trillion-parameter successor incorporates supplemental SpaceX engineering data for claimed advantages in real-world technical reasoning, positioning xAI’s aggressive monthly cadence against OpenAI and Anthropic releases. Market-implied odds cluster tightly across September 10–23 dates because historical timelines have shifted and full confirmation—API availability, benchmarks, and official documentation—remains pending, leaving room for last-minute adjustments amid intensifying frontier-model competition.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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