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icon for Nothing Ever Happens :四月

Nothing Ever Happens :四月

icon for Nothing Ever Happens :四月

Nothing Ever Happens :四月

什么都没有

>99% 概率
Polymarket

$131,273 交易量

什么都没有

>99% 概率
Polymarket

$131,273 交易量

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200 - Fed decides any change in April - US military action against Cuba - Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdfTraders exhibit near-unanimous consensus at 99.9% for "Nothing" in the Nothing Ever Happens: April market, as the April 30, 2026, deadline elapsed without any qualifying events materializing. Key non-triggers include no Federal Reserve policy changes at the April 29 FOMC meeting, where rates held steady at 3.50%-3.75%; WTI crude oil peaking below $120 per barrel amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions that kept shipping traffic at 5% of normal levels; no US forces entering Iran despite ongoing tensions; no US military action against Cuba beyond planning; and no arrests tied to Epstein disclosures. This absence of escalation across geopolitics, energy markets, and monetary policy solidifies the wisdom-of-crowds pricing. Final resolution awaits UMA oracle confirmation, with rare disputes potentially hinging on overlooked evidence, though none has surfaced.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdf
交易量
$131,273
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200 - Fed decides any change in April - US military action against Cuba - Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdf

已提议结果: 什么都没有

有争议

已提议结果: 什么都没有

无争议

最终结果: 什么都没有

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200 - Fed decides any change in April - US military action against Cuba - Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdfTraders exhibit near-unanimous consensus at 99.9% for "Nothing" in the Nothing Ever Happens: April market, as the April 30, 2026, deadline elapsed without any qualifying events materializing. Key non-triggers include no Federal Reserve policy changes at the April 29 FOMC meeting, where rates held steady at 3.50%-3.75%; WTI crude oil peaking below $120 per barrel amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions that kept shipping traffic at 5% of normal levels; no US forces entering Iran despite ongoing tensions; no US military action against Cuba beyond planning; and no arrests tied to Epstein disclosures. This absence of escalation across geopolitics, energy markets, and monetary policy solidifies the wisdom-of-crowds pricing. Final resolution awaits UMA oracle confirmation, with rare disputes potentially hinging on overlooked evidence, though none has surfaced.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdf
交易量
$131,273
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200 - Fed decides any change in April - US military action against Cuba - Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdf

已提议结果: 什么都没有

有争议

已提议结果: 什么都没有

无争议

最终结果: 什么都没有

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Nothing Ever Happens :四月"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"什么都没有发生:四月",概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Nothing Ever Happens :四月"已产生 $131.3K 的总交易量(自Apr 7, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Nothing Ever Happens :四月"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Nothing Ever Happens :四月"的当前领先者是"什么都没有发生:四月",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Nothing Ever Happens :四月"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。