Pakistan's recent role as host for the first direct US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad, which wrapped up after 21 hours on April 12 without a deal but left the door open for follow-up, has propelled it to 86.5% trader consensus as the venue for the next meeting by June 30. Having brokered the preceding two-week ceasefire, Pakistan is now proposing a second round potentially as early as this week, with US Vice President JD Vance and envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff joined by Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in prior delegations. Switzerland holds 5.8% as a fallback neutral site from earlier indirect nuclear negotiations in Geneva, while "No Meeting by June 30" lingers at 3.2% amid de-escalation signals, though sticking points like sanctions and regional ceasefires could shift dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Pakistan 87%
Switzerland 5.8%
No Meeting by June 30 3.2%
Turkey 1.7%
$596,613 交易量
$596,613 交易量
Pakistan
87%
Switzerland
6%
No Meeting by June 30
3%
Turkey
2%
Oman
1%
Qatar
1%
Other
1%
Austria
1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Egypt
<1%
UAE
<1%
USA
<1%
Other - Middle East/North Africa
<1%
Other - Europe
<1%
Italy
<1%
Iran
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Russia
<1%
Pakistan 87%
Switzerland 5.8%
No Meeting by June 30 3.2%
Turkey 1.7%
$596,613 交易量
$596,613 交易量
Pakistan
87%
Switzerland
6%
No Meeting by June 30
3%
Turkey
2%
Oman
1%
Qatar
1%
Other
1%
Austria
1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Egypt
<1%
UAE
<1%
USA
<1%
Other - Middle East/North Africa
<1%
Other - Europe
<1%
Italy
<1%
Iran
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Russia
<1%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Apr 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Pakistan's recent role as host for the first direct US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad, which wrapped up after 21 hours on April 12 without a deal but left the door open for follow-up, has propelled it to 86.5% trader consensus as the venue for the next meeting by June 30. Having brokered the preceding two-week ceasefire, Pakistan is now proposing a second round potentially as early as this week, with US Vice President JD Vance and envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff joined by Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in prior delegations. Switzerland holds 5.8% as a fallback neutral site from earlier indirect nuclear negotiations in Geneva, while "No Meeting by June 30" lingers at 3.2% amid de-escalation signals, though sticking points like sanctions and regional ceasefires could shift dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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