Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% after none of the market's triggering events materialized by March 31, including the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% in its March 18 decision, the SAVE Act failing Senate cloture, Iran's regime remaining intact amid U.S. and Israeli strikes, and no invocation of the Insurrection Act or presidential declaration of an election interference national emergency by President Trump. The sole uncertainty hinges on Texas U.S. Senate primaries, where both James Talarico and incumbent John Cornyn must secure nominations—a low-probability outcome given Cornyn's GOP runoff against Attorney General Ken Paxton, whom a May 5 University of Texas poll shows leading 48%-45%. Markets await definitive primary results, likely post-May 26 GOP runoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于什么都没有
$339,618 交易量
$339,618 交易量
2026-03-31
什么都没有
$339,618 交易量
$339,618 交易量
2026-03-31
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% after none of the market's triggering events materialized by March 31, including the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% in its March 18 decision, the SAVE Act failing Senate cloture, Iran's regime remaining intact amid U.S. and Israeli strikes, and no invocation of the Insurrection Act or presidential declaration of an election interference national emergency by President Trump. The sole uncertainty hinges on Texas U.S. Senate primaries, where both James Talarico and incumbent John Cornyn must secure nominations—a low-probability outcome given Cornyn's GOP runoff against Attorney General Ken Paxton, whom a May 5 University of Texas poll shows leading 48%-45%. Markets await definitive primary results, likely post-May 26 GOP runoff.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
市场开放时间： Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
交易量
$339,618结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% after none of the market's triggering events materialized by March 31, including the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% in its March 18 decision, the SAVE Act failing Senate cloture, Iran's regime remaining intact amid U.S. and Israeli strikes, and no invocation of the Insurrection Act or presidential declaration of an election interference national emergency by President Trump. The sole uncertainty hinges on Texas U.S. Senate primaries, where both James Talarico and incumbent John Cornyn must secure nominations—a low-probability outcome given Cornyn's GOP runoff against Attorney General Ken Paxton, whom a May 5 University of Texas poll shows leading 48%-45%. Markets await definitive primary results, likely post-May 26 GOP runoff.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
交易量
$339,618结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% after none of the market's triggering events materialized by March 31, including the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% in its March 18 decision, the SAVE Act failing Senate cloture, Iran's regime remaining intact amid U.S. and Israeli strikes, and no invocation of the Insurrection Act or presidential declaration of an election interference national emergency by President Trump. The sole uncertainty hinges on Texas U.S. Senate primaries, where both James Talarico and incumbent John Cornyn must secure nominations—a low-probability outcome given Cornyn's GOP runoff against Attorney General Ken Paxton, whom a May 5 University of Texas poll shows leading 48%-45%. Markets await definitive primary results, likely post-May 26 GOP runoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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