Recent polling has solidified Brad Lander’s commanding position in the NY-10 Democratic primary, with surveys from May and early June showing him ahead of incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman by margins of 19 to 34 points among likely Democratic voters. Lander’s support draws from progressive endorsements, including New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani, and strong performance among younger voters in the Manhattan and Brooklyn portions of the district. Goldman retains backing from Gov. Kathy Hochul and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries but trails despite a recent debate exchange and his financial resources. The June 23 primary leaves limited time for shifts, though low undecided percentages and minor candidates’ negligible shares reinforce the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.