Incumbent Ritchie Torres maintains a commanding lead in the NY-15 Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, reflecting his established name recognition, substantial fundraising edge, and consistent support in the heavily Democratic Bronx district. Challengers including Michael Blake, Dalourny Nemorin, and Amanda Septimo have focused campaigns on local issues such as housing affordability and constituent services, with some highlighting differences over foreign policy positions. No recent developments have narrowed the gap in trader assessments of the outcome. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include unexpected late-campaign developments, turnout surprises among key voting blocs, or shifts in endorsements within the final weeks before primary day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于里奇·托雷斯 93.3%
达劳尼·内莫林 3.1%
迈克尔·布莱克 2.5%
阿曼达·塞普蒂莫 <1%
$35,800 交易量
$35,800 交易量
2026-06-23
里奇·托雷斯
93%
达劳尼·内莫林
3%
迈克尔·布莱克
3%
阿曼达·塞普蒂莫
1%
里奇·托雷斯 93.3%
达劳尼·内莫林 3.1%
迈克尔·布莱克 2.5%
阿曼达·塞普蒂莫 <1%
$35,800 交易量
$35,800 交易量
2026-06-23
里奇·托雷斯
$6,582 交易量
93%
达劳尼·内莫林
$16,112 交易量
3%
迈克尔·布莱克
$4,910 交易量
3%
阿曼达·塞普蒂莫
$8,196 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ritchie Torres maintains a commanding lead in the NY-15 Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, reflecting his established name recognition, substantial fundraising edge, and consistent support in the heavily Democratic Bronx district. Challengers including Michael Blake, Dalourny Nemorin, and Amanda Septimo have focused campaigns on local issues such as housing affordability and constituent services, with some highlighting differences over foreign policy positions. No recent developments have narrowed the gap in trader assessments of the outcome. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include unexpected late-campaign developments, turnout surprises among key voting blocs, or shifts in endorsements within the final weeks before primary day.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET
交易量
$35,800结束日期
2026-06-23市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ritchie Torres maintains a commanding lead in the NY-15 Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, reflecting his established name recognition, substantial fundraising edge, and consistent support in the heavily Democratic Bronx district. Challengers including Michael Blake, Dalourny Nemorin, and Amanda Septimo have focused campaigns on local issues such as housing affordability and constituent services, with some highlighting differences over foreign policy positions. No recent developments have narrowed the gap in trader assessments of the outcome. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include unexpected late-campaign developments, turnout surprises among key voting blocs, or shifts in endorsements within the final weeks before primary day.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$35,800结束日期
2026-06-23市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ritchie Torres maintains a commanding lead in the NY-15 Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, reflecting his established name recognition, substantial fundraising edge, and consistent support in the heavily Democratic Bronx district. Challengers including Michael Blake, Dalourny Nemorin, and Amanda Septimo have focused campaigns on local issues such as housing affordability and constituent services, with some highlighting differences over foreign policy positions. No recent developments have narrowed the gap in trader assessments of the outcome. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include unexpected late-campaign developments, turnout surprises among key voting blocs, or shifts in endorsements within the final weeks before primary day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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