Trader consensus on Polymarket prices GERB-SDS securing 55-59 seats (37%) or 50-54 (24%) in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, reflecting recent polls showing the center-right coalition's vote share dipping to 19-21.5% amid Progressive Bulgaria's lead at 30-34%. Latest surveys from CAM (April 3-14: 19.4%, 54 seats) and Sova Harris (April 2-6: 19%, 53 seats) anchor these brackets, a slide from March highs of 23.4% projecting 64-70 seats. Fragmentation risks persist with multiple parties near the 4% threshold, where failures could redistribute seats upward to qualifiers like GERB-SDS, while voter fatigue from the eighth election since 2021 tempers upside in this proportional representation system requiring 121 for majority.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于55-59 41%
50-54 26%
60-64 16.8%
少于50 11.0%
$34,274 交易量
$34,274 交易量
2026-04-19
少于50
11%
50-54
26%
55-59
41%
60-64
17%
65-69
11%
70+
6%
55-59 41%
50-54 26%
60-64 16.8%
少于50 11.0%
$34,274 交易量
$34,274 交易量
2026-04-19
少于50
$1,965 交易量
11%
50-54
$365 交易量
26%
55-59
$7,686 交易量
41%
60-64
$20,230 交易量
17%
65-69
$2,838 交易量
11%
70+
$1,190 交易量
6%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices GERB-SDS securing 55-59 seats (37%) or 50-54 (24%) in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, reflecting recent polls showing the center-right coalition's vote share dipping to 19-21.5% amid Progressive Bulgaria's lead at 30-34%. Latest surveys from CAM (April 3-14: 19.4%, 54 seats) and Sova Harris (April 2-6: 19%, 53 seats) anchor these brackets, a slide from March highs of 23.4% projecting 64-70 seats. Fragmentation risks persist with multiple parties near the 4% threshold, where failures could redistribute seats upward to qualifiers like GERB-SDS, while voter fatigue from the eighth election since 2021 tempers upside in this proportional representation system requiring 121 for majority.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 12:31 PM ET
交易量
$34,274结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 12:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices GERB-SDS securing 55-59 seats (37%) or 50-54 (24%) in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, reflecting recent polls showing the center-right coalition's vote share dipping to 19-21.5% amid Progressive Bulgaria's lead at 30-34%. Latest surveys from CAM (April 3-14: 19.4%, 54 seats) and Sova Harris (April 2-6: 19%, 53 seats) anchor these brackets, a slide from March highs of 23.4% projecting 64-70 seats. Fragmentation risks persist with multiple parties near the 4% threshold, where failures could redistribute seats upward to qualifiers like GERB-SDS, while voter fatigue from the eighth election since 2021 tempers upside in this proportional representation system requiring 121 for majority.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
交易量
$34,274结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 12:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices GERB-SDS securing 55-59 seats (37%) or 50-54 (24%) in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, reflecting recent polls showing the center-right coalition's vote share dipping to 19-21.5% amid Progressive Bulgaria's lead at 30-34%. Latest surveys from CAM (April 3-14: 19.4%, 54 seats) and Sova Harris (April 2-6: 19%, 53 seats) anchor these brackets, a slide from March highs of 23.4% projecting 64-70 seats. Fragmentation risks persist with multiple parties near the 4% threshold, where failures could redistribute seats upward to qualifiers like GERB-SDS, while voter fatigue from the eighth election since 2021 tempers upside in this proportional representation system requiring 121 for majority.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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