Official tallies from Peru's National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) have propelled Jorge Nieto to a commanding fourth place in the April 12-13 presidential first-round vote count, with over 91% of ballots processed as of April 15 showing him at 11.06%—ahead of Ricardo Belmont (10.15%) and Roberto Sánchez Palomino challengers lower. Logistical delays extended voting into Monday and slowed scrutiny amid 35 fragmented candidates, but Nieto's consistent lead in urban and processed areas drives trader consensus at 99% implied probability. A June 7 runoff looms between top two Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez Palomino. Remaining rural ballots could narrow margins if favoring trailing contenders like Belmont, though his position appears secure barring disputes or recounts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于秘鲁总统选举第一轮：第四名
秘鲁总统选举第一轮：第四名
豪尔赫·涅托 99.0%
里卡多·贝尔蒙特 <1%
拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加 <1%
罗伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米诺 <1%
$403,408 交易量
$403,408 交易量
2026-04-12
豪尔赫·涅托
99%
里卡多·贝尔蒙特
1%
拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加
<1%
罗伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米诺
<1%
藤森惠子
<1%
卡洛斯·阿尔瓦雷斯
<1%
阿方索·洛佩斯·查乌
<1%
何塞·卢纳
<1%
罗伯托·奇亚布拉
<1%
何塞·威廉斯
<1%
卡洛斯·埃斯帕
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
马里索尔·佩雷斯·特略
<1%
马里奥·比斯卡拉
<1%
塞萨尔·阿库尼亚
<1%
弗拉基米尔·塞龙
<1%
乔治·福赛思
<1%
恩里克·巴尔德拉马
<1%
菲奥雷拉·莫利内利
<1%
费尔南多·奥利维拉
<1%
拉斐尔·贝劳恩德·洛萨
<1%
梅西亚斯·格瓦拉
<1%
沃尔夫冈·格罗佐
<1%
豪尔赫·涅托 99.0%
里卡多·贝尔蒙特 <1%
拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加 <1%
罗伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米诺 <1%
$403,408 交易量
$403,408 交易量
2026-04-12
豪尔赫·涅托
$48,848 交易量
99%
里卡多·贝尔蒙特
$216,486 交易量
1%
拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加
$49,744 交易量
<1%
罗伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米诺
$47,619 交易量
<1%
藤森惠子
$1,914 交易量
<1%
卡洛斯·阿尔瓦雷斯
$5,009 交易量
<1%
阿方索·洛佩斯·查乌
$7,957 交易量
<1%
何塞·卢纳
$706 交易量
<1%
罗伯托·奇亚布拉
$1,004 交易量
<1%
何塞·威廉斯
$5,052 交易量
<1%
卡洛斯·埃斯帕
$2,562 交易量
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
$1,570 交易量
<1%
马里索尔·佩雷斯·特略
$1,678 交易量
<1%
马里奥·比斯卡拉
$1,235 交易量
<1%
塞萨尔·阿库尼亚
$697 交易量
<1%
弗拉基米尔·塞龙
$501 交易量
<1%
乔治·福赛思
$1,246 交易量
<1%
恩里克·巴尔德拉马
$4,462 交易量
<1%
菲奥雷拉·莫利内利
$1,179 交易量
<1%
费尔南多·奥利维拉
$746 交易量
<1%
拉斐尔·贝劳恩德·洛萨
$651 交易量
<1%
梅西亚斯·格瓦拉
$1,342 交易量
<1%
沃尔夫冈·格罗佐
$1,200 交易量
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Official tallies from Peru's National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) have propelled Jorge Nieto to a commanding fourth place in the April 12-13 presidential first-round vote count, with over 91% of ballots processed as of April 15 showing him at 11.06%—ahead of Ricardo Belmont (10.15%) and Roberto Sánchez Palomino challengers lower. Logistical delays extended voting into Monday and slowed scrutiny amid 35 fragmented candidates, but Nieto's consistent lead in urban and processed areas drives trader consensus at 99% implied probability. A June 7 runoff looms between top two Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez Palomino. Remaining rural ballots could narrow margins if favoring trailing contenders like Belmont, though his position appears secure barring disputes or recounts.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
市场开放时间： Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
交易量
$403,408结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Official tallies from Peru's National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) have propelled Jorge Nieto to a commanding fourth place in the April 12-13 presidential first-round vote count, with over 91% of ballots processed as of April 15 showing him at 11.06%—ahead of Ricardo Belmont (10.15%) and Roberto Sánchez Palomino challengers lower. Logistical delays extended voting into Monday and slowed scrutiny amid 35 fragmented candidates, but Nieto's consistent lead in urban and processed areas drives trader consensus at 99% implied probability. A June 7 runoff looms between top two Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez Palomino. Remaining rural ballots could narrow margins if favoring trailing contenders like Belmont, though his position appears secure barring disputes or recounts.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
交易量
$403,408结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official tallies from Peru's National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) have propelled Jorge Nieto to a commanding fourth place in the April 12-13 presidential first-round vote count, with over 91% of ballots processed as of April 15 showing him at 11.06%—ahead of Ricardo Belmont (10.15%) and Roberto Sánchez Palomino challengers lower. Logistical delays extended voting into Monday and slowed scrutiny amid 35 fragmented candidates, but Nieto's consistent lead in urban and processed areas drives trader consensus at 99% implied probability. A June 7 runoff looms between top two Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez Palomino. Remaining rural ballots could narrow margins if favoring trailing contenders like Belmont, though his position appears secure barring disputes or recounts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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