Trader consensus prices 70-75% turnout at 81% implied probability following Peru's first-round presidential election on April 12-13, 2026, reflecting historical precedents around 74% in 2021 amid chronic political instability with eight presidents in a decade fostering voter apathy. Logistical failures—late ballot deliveries, power outages, and delayed polling station openings in Lima (30% of voters)—prompted a one-day extension for over 50,000 voters, suppressing participation per initial reports, though Ipsos exit polls suggested over 81%. Official ONPE partial counts at 91% of actas show 68% turnout, but traders anticipate upward revision to 70-75% as remote and extended votes tabulate, with final figures pending amid fraud allegations and protests.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于70-75% 84.0%
75-80% 13%
80-85% 2.1%
低于70% <1%
$133,873 交易量
$133,873 交易量
2026-04-12
低于70%
1%
70-75%
84%
75-80%
13%
80-85%
2%
> 85%
<1%
70-75% 84.0%
75-80% 13%
80-85% 2.1%
低于70% <1%
$133,873 交易量
$133,873 交易量
2026-04-12
低于70%
$20,241 交易量
1%
70-75%
$36,173 交易量
84%
75-80%
$21,272 交易量
13%
80-85%
$48,343 交易量
2%
> 85%
$8,030 交易量
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus prices 70-75% turnout at 81% implied probability following Peru's first-round presidential election on April 12-13, 2026, reflecting historical precedents around 74% in 2021 amid chronic political instability with eight presidents in a decade fostering voter apathy. Logistical failures—late ballot deliveries, power outages, and delayed polling station openings in Lima (30% of voters)—prompted a one-day extension for over 50,000 voters, suppressing participation per initial reports, though Ipsos exit polls suggested over 81%. Official ONPE partial counts at 91% of actas show 68% turnout, but traders anticipate upward revision to 70-75% as remote and extended votes tabulate, with final figures pending amid fraud allegations and protests.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
市场开放时间： Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
交易量
$133,873结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus prices 70-75% turnout at 81% implied probability following Peru's first-round presidential election on April 12-13, 2026, reflecting historical precedents around 74% in 2021 amid chronic political instability with eight presidents in a decade fostering voter apathy. Logistical failures—late ballot deliveries, power outages, and delayed polling station openings in Lima (30% of voters)—prompted a one-day extension for over 50,000 voters, suppressing participation per initial reports, though Ipsos exit polls suggested over 81%. Official ONPE partial counts at 91% of actas show 68% turnout, but traders anticipate upward revision to 70-75% as remote and extended votes tabulate, with final figures pending amid fraud allegations and protests.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
交易量
$133,873结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices 70-75% turnout at 81% implied probability following Peru's first-round presidential election on April 12-13, 2026, reflecting historical precedents around 74% in 2021 amid chronic political instability with eight presidents in a decade fostering voter apathy. Logistical failures—late ballot deliveries, power outages, and delayed polling station openings in Lima (30% of voters)—prompted a one-day extension for over 50,000 voters, suppressing participation per initial reports, though Ipsos exit polls suggested over 81%. Official ONPE partial counts at 91% of actas show 68% turnout, but traders anticipate upward revision to 70-75% as remote and extended votes tabulate, with final figures pending amid fraud allegations and protests.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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