A fragmented field of roughly ten registered candidates for Rondônia’s two Senate seats on October 4 keeps the contest for second place tightly bunched, with trader prices clustered between 21% and 24% for leading contenders such as Mariana Carvalho, Luciana Oliveira, Sílvia Cristina, Engenheiro Thulio, Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid, Dr. Fernando Máximo, Neidinha, Acir Gurgacz, and others. Recent August registrations and polling averages show right-leaning names splitting support within the PL and allied parties, while left and center candidates remain competitive but lower in first-choice surveys. This vote dispersion, combined with limited undecided consolidation and the absence of a dominant second-place frontrunner, sustains the narrow probability band. Any late shifts in alliances, turnout among specific voting blocs, or clearer polling separation ahead of the single-round vote could widen gaps among the pack.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Luciana Oliveira 25%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 24%
Mariana Carvalho 24%
Engenheiro Thulio 24%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Luciana Oliveira
25%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
24%
Mariana Carvalho
24%
Engenheiro Thulio
24%
Acir Gurgacz
23%
Sílvia Cristina
23%
Dr. Fernando Máximo
22%
Luis Fernando
22%
Aires Mota
22%
Neidinha
22%
Luciana Oliveira 25%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 24%
Mariana Carvalho 24%
Engenheiro Thulio 24%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Luciana Oliveira
$0 交易量
25%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
$0 交易量
24%
Mariana Carvalho
$0 交易量
24%
Engenheiro Thulio
$0 交易量
24%
Acir Gurgacz
$0 交易量
23%
Sílvia Cristina
$0 交易量
23%
Dr. Fernando Máximo
$0 交易量
22%
Luis Fernando
$0 交易量
22%
Aires Mota
$0 交易量
22%
Neidinha
$0 交易量
22%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).A fragmented field of roughly ten registered candidates for Rondônia’s two Senate seats on October 4 keeps the contest for second place tightly bunched, with trader prices clustered between 21% and 24% for leading contenders such as Mariana Carvalho, Luciana Oliveira, Sílvia Cristina, Engenheiro Thulio, Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid, Dr. Fernando Máximo, Neidinha, Acir Gurgacz, and others. Recent August registrations and polling averages show right-leaning names splitting support within the PL and allied parties, while left and center candidates remain competitive but lower in first-choice surveys. This vote dispersion, combined with limited undecided consolidation and the absence of a dominant second-place frontrunner, sustains the narrow probability band. Any late shifts in alliances, turnout among specific voting blocs, or clearer polling separation ahead of the single-round vote could widen gaps among the pack.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).A fragmented field of roughly ten registered candidates for Rondônia’s two Senate seats on October 4 keeps the contest for second place tightly bunched, with trader prices clustered between 21% and 24% for leading contenders such as Mariana Carvalho, Luciana Oliveira, Sílvia Cristina, Engenheiro Thulio, Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid, Dr. Fernando Máximo, Neidinha, Acir Gurgacz, and others. Recent August registrations and polling averages show right-leaning names splitting support within the PL and allied parties, while left and center candidates remain competitive but lower in first-choice surveys. This vote dispersion, combined with limited undecided consolidation and the absence of a dominant second-place frontrunner, sustains the narrow probability band. Any late shifts in alliances, turnout among specific voting blocs, or clearer polling separation ahead of the single-round vote could widen gaps among the pack.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A fragmented field of roughly ten registered candidates for Rondônia’s two Senate seats on October 4 keeps the contest for second place tightly bunched, with trader prices clustered between 21% and 24% for leading contenders such as Mariana Carvalho, Luciana Oliveira, Sílvia Cristina, Engenheiro Thulio, Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid, Dr. Fernando Máximo, Neidinha, Acir Gurgacz, and others. Recent August registrations and polling averages show right-leaning names splitting support within the PL and allied parties, while left and center candidates remain competitive but lower in first-choice surveys. This vote dispersion, combined with limited undecided consolidation and the absence of a dominant second-place frontrunner, sustains the narrow probability band. Any late shifts in alliances, turnout among specific voting blocs, or clearer polling separation ahead of the single-round vote could widen gaps among the pack.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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