With more than 10 candidates competing for first place in Rondônia’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where no contender holds a dominant edge. Recent officialization of candidacies by parties including PL and PDT, combined with the TSE’s August clearance of former senator Acir Gurgacz to run after prior legal hurdles, has kept probabilities clustered near 40-50%. Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid’s PL nomination and family-linked visibility provide one focal point, while other contenders such as Luciana Oliveira, Aires Mota, and Mariana Carvalho draw support from regional bases. Early polling snapshots showing Scheid among the leaders have not yet produced separation, as turnout patterns, coalition alignments, and late campaign developments could still reorder the ranking before election night.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Dr. Fernando Máximo 41%
Acir Gurgacz 41%
Luis Fernando 41%
Neidinha 41%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Dr. Fernando Máximo
41%
Acir Gurgacz
41%
Luis Fernando
41%
Neidinha
41%
Engenheiro Thulio
40%
Luciana Oliveira
29%
Mariana Carvalho
28%
Aires Mota
27%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
27%
Sílvia Cristina
26%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 41%
Acir Gurgacz 41%
Luis Fernando 41%
Neidinha 41%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Dr. Fernando Máximo
$0 交易量
41%
Acir Gurgacz
$0 交易量
41%
Luis Fernando
$0 交易量
41%
Neidinha
$0 交易量
41%
Engenheiro Thulio
$0 交易量
40%
Luciana Oliveira
$0 交易量
29%
Mariana Carvalho
$0 交易量
28%
Aires Mota
$0 交易量
27%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
$0 交易量
27%
Sílvia Cristina
$0 交易量
26%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).With more than 10 candidates competing for first place in Rondônia’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where no contender holds a dominant edge. Recent officialization of candidacies by parties including PL and PDT, combined with the TSE’s August clearance of former senator Acir Gurgacz to run after prior legal hurdles, has kept probabilities clustered near 40-50%. Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid’s PL nomination and family-linked visibility provide one focal point, while other contenders such as Luciana Oliveira, Aires Mota, and Mariana Carvalho draw support from regional bases. Early polling snapshots showing Scheid among the leaders have not yet produced separation, as turnout patterns, coalition alignments, and late campaign developments could still reorder the ranking before election night.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).With more than 10 candidates competing for first place in Rondônia’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where no contender holds a dominant edge. Recent officialization of candidacies by parties including PL and PDT, combined with the TSE’s August clearance of former senator Acir Gurgacz to run after prior legal hurdles, has kept probabilities clustered near 40-50%. Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid’s PL nomination and family-linked visibility provide one focal point, while other contenders such as Luciana Oliveira, Aires Mota, and Mariana Carvalho draw support from regional bases. Early polling snapshots showing Scheid among the leaders have not yet produced separation, as turnout patterns, coalition alignments, and late campaign developments could still reorder the ranking before election night.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With more than 10 candidates competing for first place in Rondônia’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where no contender holds a dominant edge. Recent officialization of candidacies by parties including PL and PDT, combined with the TSE’s August clearance of former senator Acir Gurgacz to run after prior legal hurdles, has kept probabilities clustered near 40-50%. Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid’s PL nomination and family-linked visibility provide one focal point, while other contenders such as Luciana Oliveira, Aires Mota, and Mariana Carvalho draw support from regional bases. Early polling snapshots showing Scheid among the leaders have not yet produced separation, as turnout patterns, coalition alignments, and late campaign developments could still reorder the ranking before election night.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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