Trader consensus on the Santa Cruz gubernatorial election in Bolivia tilts slightly toward MAS candidate Otto Ritter at 47%, reflecting recent polls showing him edging incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho, who sits at 41% despite strong regional loyalty in this pro-autonomy department. Camacho's detention since late 2022 on sedition charges tied to 2020 events has hampered his campaigning, allowing Ritter to leverage national party resources amid Bolivia's polarized politics. The race remains neck-and-neck due to Santa Cruz's historical resistance to La Paz's influence and Camacho's enduring popularity; separation could arise from judicial rulings on his case, final pre-election surveys, or turnout among his base ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于奥托·里特 46.9%
路易斯·费尔南多·卡马乔 41%
胡安·巴勃罗·贝拉斯科 13.4%
胡安·卡洛斯·梅德拉诺 <1%
$557,796 交易量
$557,796 交易量
奥托·里特
47%
路易斯·费尔南多·卡马乔
41%
胡安·巴勃罗·贝拉斯科
13%
胡安·卡洛斯·梅德拉诺
<1%
毛里西奥·克萨达
<1%
池贤钟
<1%
胡利奥·塞萨尔·托雷斯
<1%
圭多·爱德华多·纳亚尔
<1%
米格尔·卡迪马
<1%
弗拉基米尔·佩尼亚
<1%
奥托·里特 46.9%
路易斯·费尔南多·卡马乔 41%
胡安·巴勃罗·贝拉斯科 13.4%
胡安·卡洛斯·梅德拉诺 <1%
$557,796 交易量
$557,796 交易量
奥托·里特
47%
路易斯·费尔南多·卡马乔
41%
胡安·巴勃罗·贝拉斯科
13%
胡安·卡洛斯·梅德拉诺
<1%
毛里西奥·克萨达
<1%
池贤钟
<1%
胡利奥·塞萨尔·托雷斯
<1%
圭多·爱德华多·纳亚尔
<1%
米格尔·卡迪马
<1%
弗拉基米尔·佩尼亚
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
市场开放时间: Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the Santa Cruz gubernatorial election in Bolivia tilts slightly toward MAS candidate Otto Ritter at 47%, reflecting recent polls showing him edging incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho, who sits at 41% despite strong regional loyalty in this pro-autonomy department. Camacho's detention since late 2022 on sedition charges tied to 2020 events has hampered his campaigning, allowing Ritter to leverage national party resources amid Bolivia's polarized politics. The race remains neck-and-neck due to Santa Cruz's historical resistance to La Paz's influence and Camacho's enduring popularity; separation could arise from judicial rulings on his case, final pre-election surveys, or turnout among his base ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题