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icon for 沙迦宣布从阿联酋分裂出去…… ?

沙迦宣布从阿联酋分裂出去…… ?

icon for 沙迦宣布从阿联酋分裂出去…… ?

沙迦宣布从阿联酋分裂出去…… ?

$150,498 交易量

2026-05-31
Polymarket

$150,498 交易量

Polymarket

5月8日

$70,781 交易量

5月31日

$79,717 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Ruler of Sharjah, the Sharjah Executive Council, or another official Sharjah governing authority officially and definitively announces that the Emirate of Sharjah, or a majority of the territory of Sharjah, will leave, secede from, or otherwise cease to be part of the United Arab Emirates by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying announcement may state that Sharjah will become an independent state, join another state, or otherwise cease to be a constituent emirate of the United Arab Emirates. Only official and definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, statements of consideration, calls for independence, rumors, unofficial reports, social media claims, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Routine border adjustments, municipal reorganizations, or changes to Sharjah’s local governance will not qualify unless they explicitly declare that Sharjah, or a majority of the territory of Sharjah, will leave or cease to be part of the United Arab Emirates. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Ruler of Sharjah, the Sharjah Executive Council, or other official Sharjah government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent viral rumors on social media, amplified since late April 2026 amid UAE's response to Iranian aggression and OPEC exit, claim Sharjah's ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al Qasimi plans to declare a "Republic of Sharjah" and secede from the UAE federation. These unsubstantiated claims, often tied to Sharjah's conservative resistance to federal policies like Israel normalization, have been repeatedly debunked by fact-checkers citing the UAE Constitution's explicit prohibition on unilateral emirate secession, which requires unanimous Federal Supreme Council approval. No official statements or diplomatic signals support the speculation, leaving trader consensus reflecting the near-impossibility absent extraordinary federal collapse. Watch for any rare authoritative denials or regional escalations that could sustain buzz.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Ruler of Sharjah, the Sharjah Executive Council, or another official Sharjah governing authority officially and definitively announces that the Emirate of Sharjah, or a majority of the territory of Sharjah, will leave, secede from, or otherwise cease to be part of the United Arab Emirates by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A qualifying announcement may state that Sharjah will become an independent state, join another state, or otherwise cease to be a constituent emirate of the United Arab Emirates.

Only official and definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, statements of consideration, calls for independence, rumors, unofficial reports, social media claims, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.

Routine border adjustments, municipal reorganizations, or changes to Sharjah’s local governance will not qualify unless they explicitly declare that Sharjah, or a majority of the territory of Sharjah, will leave or cease to be part of the United Arab Emirates.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Ruler of Sharjah, the Sharjah Executive Council, or other official Sharjah government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$150,498
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Ruler of Sharjah, the Sharjah Executive Council, or another official Sharjah governing authority officially and definitively announces that the Emirate of Sharjah, or a majority of the territory of Sharjah, will leave, secede from, or otherwise cease to be part of the United Arab Emirates by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying announcement may state that Sharjah will become an independent state, join another state, or otherwise cease to be a constituent emirate of the United Arab Emirates. Only official and definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, statements of consideration, calls for independence, rumors, unofficial reports, social media claims, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Routine border adjustments, municipal reorganizations, or changes to Sharjah’s local governance will not qualify unless they explicitly declare that Sharjah, or a majority of the territory of Sharjah, will leave or cease to be part of the United Arab Emirates. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Ruler of Sharjah, the Sharjah Executive Council, or other official Sharjah government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Ruler of Sharjah, the Sharjah Executive Council, or another official Sharjah governing authority officially and definitively announces that the Emirate of Sharjah, or a majority of the territory of Sharjah, will leave, secede from, or otherwise cease to be part of the United Arab Emirates by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying announcement may state that Sharjah will become an independent state, join another state, or otherwise cease to be a constituent emirate of the United Arab Emirates. Only official and definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, statements of consideration, calls for independence, rumors, unofficial reports, social media claims, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Routine border adjustments, municipal reorganizations, or changes to Sharjah’s local governance will not qualify unless they explicitly declare that Sharjah, or a majority of the territory of Sharjah, will leave or cease to be part of the United Arab Emirates. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Ruler of Sharjah, the Sharjah Executive Council, or other official Sharjah government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent viral rumors on social media, amplified since late April 2026 amid UAE's response to Iranian aggression and OPEC exit, claim Sharjah's ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al Qasimi plans to declare a "Republic of Sharjah" and secede from the UAE federation. These unsubstantiated claims, often tied to Sharjah's conservative resistance to federal policies like Israel normalization, have been repeatedly debunked by fact-checkers citing the UAE Constitution's explicit prohibition on unilateral emirate secession, which requires unanimous Federal Supreme Council approval. No official statements or diplomatic signals support the speculation, leaving trader consensus reflecting the near-impossibility absent extraordinary federal collapse. Watch for any rare authoritative denials or regional escalations that could sustain buzz.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Ruler of Sharjah, the Sharjah Executive Council, or another official Sharjah governing authority officially and definitively announces that the Emirate of Sharjah, or a majority of the territory of Sharjah, will leave, secede from, or otherwise cease to be part of the United Arab Emirates by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A qualifying announcement may state that Sharjah will become an independent state, join another state, or otherwise cease to be a constituent emirate of the United Arab Emirates.

Only official and definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, statements of consideration, calls for independence, rumors, unofficial reports, social media claims, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.

Routine border adjustments, municipal reorganizations, or changes to Sharjah’s local governance will not qualify unless they explicitly declare that Sharjah, or a majority of the territory of Sharjah, will leave or cease to be part of the United Arab Emirates.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Ruler of Sharjah, the Sharjah Executive Council, or other official Sharjah government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$150,498
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Ruler of Sharjah, the Sharjah Executive Council, or another official Sharjah governing authority officially and definitively announces that the Emirate of Sharjah, or a majority of the territory of Sharjah, will leave, secede from, or otherwise cease to be part of the United Arab Emirates by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying announcement may state that Sharjah will become an independent state, join another state, or otherwise cease to be a constituent emirate of the United Arab Emirates. Only official and definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, statements of consideration, calls for independence, rumors, unofficial reports, social media claims, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Routine border adjustments, municipal reorganizations, or changes to Sharjah’s local governance will not qualify unless they explicitly declare that Sharjah, or a majority of the territory of Sharjah, will leave or cease to be part of the United Arab Emirates. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Ruler of Sharjah, the Sharjah Executive Council, or other official Sharjah government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"沙迦宣布从阿联酋分裂出去…… ?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"5月8日",概率为 0%,其次是"5月31日",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 0¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 0%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"沙迦宣布从阿联酋分裂出去…… ?"已产生 $150.5K 的总交易量(自May 1, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"沙迦宣布从阿联酋分裂出去…… ?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"沙迦宣布从阿联酋分裂出去…… ?"的当前领先者是"5月8日",仅有 0%,"5月31日"紧随其后为 0%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"沙迦宣布从阿联酋分裂出去…… ?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。