Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) resigned from the House this week amid sexual misconduct allegations and looming expulsion votes, satisfying half the market's condition for all four lawmakers to depart by May 31. Trader consensus at 56.5% on "No" reflects skepticism that Reps. Cory Mills (R-FL) and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL)—facing separate ethics probes over stolen valor claims, assault complaints, and misconduct—will both exit soon, given the two-thirds supermajority required for expulsion and historical rarity of such actions. Speaker Johnson called for Cherfilus-McCormick's ouster, with Rep. Anna Paulina Luna pushing floor votes, but defenses and procedural hurdles temper expectations ahead of potential hearings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
最新
$16,406 交易量
最新
$16,406 交易量
2026-05-31
是
最新
$16,406 交易量
最新
$16,406 交易量
2026-05-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) resigned from the House this week amid sexual misconduct allegations and looming expulsion votes, satisfying half the market's condition for all four lawmakers to depart by May 31. Trader consensus at 56.5% on "No" reflects skepticism that Reps. Cory Mills (R-FL) and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL)—facing separate ethics probes over stolen valor claims, assault complaints, and misconduct—will both exit soon, given the two-thirds supermajority required for expulsion and historical rarity of such actions. Speaker Johnson called for Cherfilus-McCormick's ouster, with Rep. Anna Paulina Luna pushing floor votes, but defenses and procedural hurdles temper expectations ahead of potential hearings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
交易量
$16,406结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) resigned from the House this week amid sexual misconduct allegations and looming expulsion votes, satisfying half the market's condition for all four lawmakers to depart by May 31. Trader consensus at 56.5% on "No" reflects skepticism that Reps. Cory Mills (R-FL) and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL)—facing separate ethics probes over stolen valor claims, assault complaints, and misconduct—will both exit soon, given the two-thirds supermajority required for expulsion and historical rarity of such actions. Speaker Johnson called for Cherfilus-McCormick's ouster, with Rep. Anna Paulina Luna pushing floor votes, but defenses and procedural hurdles temper expectations ahead of potential hearings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$16,406结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) resigned from the House this week amid sexual misconduct allegations and looming expulsion votes, satisfying half the market's condition for all four lawmakers to depart by May 31. Trader consensus at 56.5% on "No" reflects skepticism that Reps. Cory Mills (R-FL) and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL)—facing separate ethics probes over stolen valor claims, assault complaints, and misconduct—will both exit soon, given the two-thirds supermajority required for expulsion and historical rarity of such actions. Speaker Johnson called for Cherfilus-McCormick's ouster, with Rep. Anna Paulina Luna pushing floor votes, but defenses and procedural hurdles temper expectations ahead of potential hearings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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