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Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick在5月31日前出任美国代表?

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Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick在5月31日前出任美国代表?

73% 概率
Polymarket
最新

73% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 72% for Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-Fla.) vacating her US House seat by May 31, driven by a March 27 bipartisan House Ethics subcommittee finding her guilty on 25 of 27 charges, including misusing over $5 million in FEMA disaster aid for campaign finance violations. Mounting bipartisan calls for resignation or expulsion followed, intensified by House Speaker Mike Johnson's April 14 statement supporting her removal. Cherfilus-McCormick has rejected resigning amid her federal fraud trial delay to February 2027, but the full Ethics Committee is set to recommend sanctions post-April recess, potentially triggering a floor expulsion vote requiring a two-thirds majority—rare but feasible given the severity and cross-party pressure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,014
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 72% for Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-Fla.) vacating her US House seat by May 31, driven by a March 27 bipartisan House Ethics subcommittee finding her guilty on 25 of 27 charges, including misusing over $5 million in FEMA disaster aid for campaign finance violations. Mounting bipartisan calls for resignation or expulsion followed, intensified by House Speaker Mike Johnson's April 14 statement supporting her removal. Cherfilus-McCormick has rejected resigning amid her federal fraud trial delay to February 2027, but the full Ethics Committee is set to recommend sanctions post-April recess, potentially triggering a floor expulsion vote requiring a two-thirds majority—rare but feasible given the severity and cross-party pressure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,014
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick在5月31日前出任美国代表?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"谢伊拉·舍菲卢斯-麦考密克将在5月31日前卸任美国众议员?",概率为 73%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 73¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 73%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick在5月31日前出任美国代表?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Apr 13, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick在5月31日前出任美国代表?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick在5月31日前出任美国代表?"的当前领先者是"谢伊拉·舍菲卢斯-麦考密克将在5月31日前卸任美国众议员?",概率为 73%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 73%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick在5月31日前出任美国代表?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。