Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow dominates trader consensus at 77% implied probability for the October 26, 2026 Toronto municipal election, reflecting her strong polling leads—such as Liaison Strategies' March 10 survey showing 44% support versus Brad Bradford's 26%—and steady 55% approval rating amid a fragmented field. Former mayor John Tory's March 3 announcement ruling out a comeback removed a key rival, consolidating progressive backing for Chow while elevating councillor Brad Bradford (11%) as the centre-right challenger after his March 4 candidacy declaration, though he trails in multi-candidate scenarios. Ana Bailão (6%) lingers from her 2023 runner-up finish but shows no recent momentum. No major polls or declarations have emerged in the past 30 days, with upcoming nominations and debates poised to influence odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Olivia Chow 77%
Brad Bradford 11%
Ana Bailão 6%
John Tory 2.6%
Olivia Chow
77%
Brad Bradford
11%
Ana Bailão
6%
John Tory
3%
Kevin Clarke
2%
Michael Ford
2%
Anthony Furey
1%
Marco Mendicino
<1%
Olivia Chow 77%
Brad Bradford 11%
Ana Bailão 6%
John Tory 2.6%
Olivia Chow
77%
Brad Bradford
11%
Ana Bailão
6%
John Tory
3%
Kevin Clarke
2%
Michael Ford
2%
Anthony Furey
1%
Marco Mendicino
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow dominates trader consensus at 77% implied probability for the October 26, 2026 Toronto municipal election, reflecting her strong polling leads—such as Liaison Strategies' March 10 survey showing 44% support versus Brad Bradford's 26%—and steady 55% approval rating amid a fragmented field. Former mayor John Tory's March 3 announcement ruling out a comeback removed a key rival, consolidating progressive backing for Chow while elevating councillor Brad Bradford (11%) as the centre-right challenger after his March 4 candidacy declaration, though he trails in multi-candidate scenarios. Ana Bailão (6%) lingers from her 2023 runner-up finish but shows no recent momentum. No major polls or declarations have emerged in the past 30 days, with upcoming nominations and debates poised to influence odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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