US military operations against Iran, initiated with joint US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, targeting nuclear sites, leadership, and defenses, continue amid a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz imposed this week after Pakistan-mediated ceasefire talks collapsed on April 12. President Trump has voiced optimism for a deal, stating Iran seeks negotiations "very badly," but no end announcement has occurred, with Pentagon briefings confirming ongoing actions including port blockades and recent personnel rescues. Senate Republicans rejected a war powers resolution yesterday, preserving executive flexibility. Traders weigh stalled diplomacy, Iranian rejections of US proposals, and potential Thursday meetings between Pakistan's army chief and Tehran officials as key factors in timing any de-escalation signal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,841,881 交易量
2026-06-30
4月21日
13%
4月30日
29%
5月31日
73%
6月30日
81%
$26,841,881 交易量
4月21日
$1,231,806 交易量
13%
4月30日
$5,306,409 交易量
29%
5月31日
$362,695 交易量
73%
6月30日
$1,941,415 交易量
81%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US military operations against Iran, initiated with joint US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, targeting nuclear sites, leadership, and defenses, continue amid a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz imposed this week after Pakistan-mediated ceasefire talks collapsed on April 12. President Trump has voiced optimism for a deal, stating Iran seeks negotiations "very badly," but no end announcement has occurred, with Pentagon briefings confirming ongoing actions including port blockades and recent personnel rescues. Senate Republicans rejected a war powers resolution yesterday, preserving executive flexibility. Traders weigh stalled diplomacy, Iranian rejections of US proposals, and potential Thursday meetings between Pakistan's army chief and Tehran officials as key factors in timing any de-escalation signal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 6, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
交易量
$26,841,881结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Mar 6, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US military operations against Iran, initiated with joint US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, targeting nuclear sites, leadership, and defenses, continue amid a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz imposed this week after Pakistan-mediated ceasefire talks collapsed on April 12. President Trump has voiced optimism for a deal, stating Iran seeks negotiations "very badly," but no end announcement has occurred, with Pentagon briefings confirming ongoing actions including port blockades and recent personnel rescues. Senate Republicans rejected a war powers resolution yesterday, preserving executive flexibility. Traders weigh stalled diplomacy, Iranian rejections of US proposals, and potential Thursday meetings between Pakistan's army chief and Tehran officials as key factors in timing any de-escalation signal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$26,841,881结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Mar 6, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military operations against Iran, initiated with joint US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, targeting nuclear sites, leadership, and defenses, continue amid a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz imposed this week after Pakistan-mediated ceasefire talks collapsed on April 12. President Trump has voiced optimism for a deal, stating Iran seeks negotiations "very badly," but no end announcement has occurred, with Pentagon briefings confirming ongoing actions including port blockades and recent personnel rescues. Senate Republicans rejected a war powers resolution yesterday, preserving executive flexibility. Traders weigh stalled diplomacy, Iranian rejections of US proposals, and potential Thursday meetings between Pakistan's army chief and Tehran officials as key factors in timing any de-escalation signal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题