President Trump's repeated assertions since late March that U.S. military objectives in Iran—destroying missiles, navy assets, and nuclear capabilities—have nearly been met have fueled trader optimism for an imminent announcement ending operations, yet the campaign persists amid escalating measures like the recent U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following collapsed Islamabad peace talks. Over the past week, Pentagon briefings confirmed ongoing blockades and additional troop deployments exceeding 10,000, while Senate Republicans blocked Democratic resolutions to limit the war on April 15. Diplomatic signals remain mixed, with Trump demanding Iranian compliance on sanctions and waterway access before withdrawal, as potential negotiations loom but face hurdles from mutual threats and regional allies like Israel.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,852,316 交易量
4月21日
13%
4月30日
29%
5月31日
73%
6月30日
81%
$26,852,316 交易量
4月21日
13%
4月30日
29%
5月31日
73%
6月30日
81%
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 6, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's repeated assertions since late March that U.S. military objectives in Iran—destroying missiles, navy assets, and nuclear capabilities—have nearly been met have fueled trader optimism for an imminent announcement ending operations, yet the campaign persists amid escalating measures like the recent U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following collapsed Islamabad peace talks. Over the past week, Pentagon briefings confirmed ongoing blockades and additional troop deployments exceeding 10,000, while Senate Republicans blocked Democratic resolutions to limit the war on April 15. Diplomatic signals remain mixed, with Trump demanding Iranian compliance on sanctions and waterway access before withdrawal, as potential negotiations loom but face hurdles from mutual threats and regional allies like Israel.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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