Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s as of late August 2026, with multiple surveys from sources such as Reuters/Ipsos, Economist/YouGov, Morning Consult, and Ballotpedia showing figures between 37% and 40%. Persistent economic pressures, including inflation, consumer confidence declines, and trade policy effects, along with low marks on foreign policy and the Iran situation, have held ratings steady near these levels. The tight clustering of probabilities around 37.5–39 reflects this recent stability in aggregates, while lower odds on outcomes below 37 or above 40 account for potential movement from new data releases or minor shifts before the September 4 measurement. Traders weigh the consistency of weekly tracking polls against historical volatility in approval during comparable periods.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于38.0–38.4 49%
37.0–37.4 26%
37.5–37.9 25%
38.5–38.9 24%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
低于37.0
11%
37.0–37.4
26%
37.5–37.9
25%
38.0–38.4
49%
38.5–38.9
24%
39.0+
24%
38.0–38.4 49%
37.0–37.4 26%
37.5–37.9 25%
38.5–38.9 24%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
低于37.0
$20 交易量
11%
37.0–37.4
$0 交易量
26%
37.5–37.9
$0 交易量
25%
38.0–38.4
$0 交易量
49%
38.5–38.9
$0 交易量
24%
39.0+
$0 交易量
24%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s as of late August 2026, with multiple surveys from sources such as Reuters/Ipsos, Economist/YouGov, Morning Consult, and Ballotpedia showing figures between 37% and 40%. Persistent economic pressures, including inflation, consumer confidence declines, and trade policy effects, along with low marks on foreign policy and the Iran situation, have held ratings steady near these levels. The tight clustering of probabilities around 37.5–39 reflects this recent stability in aggregates, while lower odds on outcomes below 37 or above 40 account for potential movement from new data releases or minor shifts before the September 4 measurement. Traders weigh the consistency of weekly tracking polls against historical volatility in approval during comparable periods.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETThis market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s as of late August 2026, with multiple surveys from sources such as Reuters/Ipsos, Economist/YouGov, Morning Consult, and Ballotpedia showing figures between 37% and 40%. Persistent economic pressures, including inflation, consumer confidence declines, and trade policy effects, along with low marks on foreign policy and the Iran situation, have held ratings steady near these levels. The tight clustering of probabilities around 37.5–39 reflects this recent stability in aggregates, while lower odds on outcomes below 37 or above 40 account for potential movement from new data releases or minor shifts before the September 4 measurement. Traders weigh the consistency of weekly tracking polls against historical volatility in approval during comparable periods.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETRecent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s as of late August 2026, with multiple surveys from sources such as Reuters/Ipsos, Economist/YouGov, Morning Consult, and Ballotpedia showing figures between 37% and 40%. Persistent economic pressures, including inflation, consumer confidence declines, and trade policy effects, along with low marks on foreign policy and the Iran situation, have held ratings steady near these levels. The tight clustering of probabilities around 37.5–39 reflects this recent stability in aggregates, while lower odds on outcomes below 37 or above 40 account for potential movement from new data releases or minor shifts before the September 4 measurement. Traders weigh the consistency of weekly tracking polls against historical volatility in approval during comparable periods.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题