Recent polls show President Trump's approval rating averaging around 41% with a net disapproval of -15, per RealClearPolitics as of early April, reflecting a dip below 40% in some surveys like CNN's 38% and Nate Silver's bulletin amid the Iran war's escalation and gas prices surpassing $4 per gallon for the first time in four years. Economic handling approval has hit new lows at 31%, eroding support among working-class whites, Republicans, and younger voters. A partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown over funding disputes compounds fiscal concerns, with Trump planning an executive order for employee pay. Traders eye Thursday's House vote on DHS funding and any Iran diplomatic updates as potential catalysts before midterms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Up
Up
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 3, 2026, than on April 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间: Apr 3, 2026, 12:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 3, 2026, than on April 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls show President Trump's approval rating averaging around 41% with a net disapproval of -15, per RealClearPolitics as of early April, reflecting a dip below 40% in some surveys like CNN's 38% and Nate Silver's bulletin amid the Iran war's escalation and gas prices surpassing $4 per gallon for the first time in four years. Economic handling approval has hit new lows at 31%, eroding support among working-class whites, Republicans, and younger voters. A partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown over funding disputes compounds fiscal concerns, with Trump planning an executive order for employee pay. Traders eye Thursday's House vote on DHS funding and any Iran diplomatic updates as potential catalysts before midterms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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