President Trump's executive order, signed on March 31 to restrict mail-in voting by mandating a federal list of eligible voters and directing the U.S. Postal Service to limit absentee ballots, faces swift legal opposition just days later. Democratic groups including the DSCC and ACLU filed lawsuits within hours, arguing it unlawfully encroaches on states' authority over elections, echoing prior court blocks on similar Trump actions. Eight states have rebuked the order, with experts deeming it unconstitutional amid midterm preparations. Traders price a 89.5% implied probability of an injunction or block by month's end, though rapid appeals or narrow rulings could sustain it temporarily.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-04-30
最新
最新
2026-04-30
On March 31, 2026, Donald Trump signed an executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections,” which directs the federal government to compile lists of verified U.S. citizens eligible to vote in each state and restricts the distribution of mail-in ballots to individuals appearing on approved voter lists.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's executive order, signed on March 31 to restrict mail-in voting by mandating a federal list of eligible voters and directing the U.S. Postal Service to limit absentee ballots, faces swift legal opposition just days later. Democratic groups including the DSCC and ACLU filed lawsuits within hours, arguing it unlawfully encroaches on states' authority over elections, echoing prior court blocks on similar Trump actions. Eight states have rebuked the order, with experts deeming it unconstitutional amid midterm preparations. Traders price a 89.5% implied probability of an injunction or block by month's end, though rapid appeals or narrow rulings could sustain it temporarily.
On March 31, 2026, Donald Trump signed an executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections,” which directs the federal government to compile lists of verified U.S. citizens eligible to vote in each state and restricts the distribution of mail-in ballots to individuals appearing on approved voter lists.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
交易量
$966结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On March 31, 2026, Donald Trump signed an executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections,” which directs the federal government to compile lists of verified U.S. citizens eligible to vote in each state and restricts the distribution of mail-in ballots to individuals appearing on approved voter lists.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's executive order, signed on March 31 to restrict mail-in voting by mandating a federal list of eligible voters and directing the U.S. Postal Service to limit absentee ballots, faces swift legal opposition just days later. Democratic groups including the DSCC and ACLU filed lawsuits within hours, arguing it unlawfully encroaches on states' authority over elections, echoing prior court blocks on similar Trump actions. Eight states have rebuked the order, with experts deeming it unconstitutional amid midterm preparations. Traders price a 89.5% implied probability of an injunction or block by month's end, though rapid appeals or narrow rulings could sustain it temporarily.
On March 31, 2026, Donald Trump signed an executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections,” which directs the federal government to compile lists of verified U.S. citizens eligible to vote in each state and restricts the distribution of mail-in ballots to individuals appearing on approved voter lists.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$966结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's executive order, signed on March 31 to restrict mail-in voting by mandating a federal list of eligible voters and directing the U.S. Postal Service to limit absentee ballots, faces swift legal opposition just days later. Democratic groups including the DSCC and ACLU filed lawsuits within hours, arguing it unlawfully encroaches on states' authority over elections, echoing prior court blocks on similar Trump actions. Eight states have rebuked the order, with experts deeming it unconstitutional amid midterm preparations. Traders price a 89.5% implied probability of an injunction or block by month's end, though rapid appeals or narrow rulings could sustain it temporarily.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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