Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner’s strong position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race stems from his established record, consistent fundraising advantage, and the state’s recent federal voting patterns favoring Democrats. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican primary competition among lesser-known candidates and polling that shows Warner ahead by wide margins against potential opponents. The Democratic primary was canceled, allowing Warner to focus resources on the general election. Trader consensus at these levels accounts for the structural barriers to an upset, including Virginia’s electorate and Warner’s incumbency, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still narrow the gap before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$8,033 交易量
93%
共和党
$1,121 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner’s strong position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race stems from his established record, consistent fundraising advantage, and the state’s recent federal voting patterns favoring Democrats. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican primary competition among lesser-known candidates and polling that shows Warner ahead by wide margins against potential opponents. The Democratic primary was canceled, allowing Warner to focus resources on the general election. Trader consensus at these levels accounts for the structural barriers to an upset, including Virginia’s electorate and Warner’s incumbency, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$9,154结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner’s strong position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race stems from his established record, consistent fundraising advantage, and the state’s recent federal voting patterns favoring Democrats. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican primary competition among lesser-known candidates and polling that shows Warner ahead by wide margins against potential opponents. The Democratic primary was canceled, allowing Warner to focus resources on the general election. Trader consensus at these levels accounts for the structural barriers to an upset, including Virginia’s electorate and Warner’s incumbency, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$9,154结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner’s strong position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race stems from his established record, consistent fundraising advantage, and the state’s recent federal voting patterns favoring Democrats. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican primary competition among lesser-known candidates and polling that shows Warner ahead by wide margins against potential opponents. The Democratic primary was canceled, allowing Warner to focus resources on the general election. Trader consensus at these levels accounts for the structural barriers to an upset, including Virginia’s electorate and Warner’s incumbency, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still narrow the gap before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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