Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer at 80% implied probability of a public insult by April 30, reflecting President Trump's recent Truth Social attacks labeling him a "coward," comparing him to Neville Chamberlain, and mocking him as "no Winston Churchill" over Britain's Iran war stance and North Sea drilling reluctance—personal barbs qualifying under market criteria since April 13 launch. Barack Obama follows at 67% amid enduring antagonism, while Pope Leo XIV sits at 39% despite pre-market criticism drawing backlash, with potential for repeat amid foreign policy rebukes. Marjorie Taylor Greene (50%) and Tucker Carlson (30%) reflect GOP tensions over Iran criticism. Upcoming Tax Day remarks in Las Vegas on April 16 and TPUSA speech in Phoenix on April 17 offer key speaking opportunities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$76,191 交易量
2026-04-30
巴拉克·奥巴马
67%
玛乔丽·泰勒·格林
50%
教皇利奥十四世
29%
塔克·卡尔森
31%
梅根·凯利
29%
亚历克斯·琼斯
14%
基尔·斯塔默
30%
本雅明·内塔尼亚胡
4%
维克多·欧尔班
3%
弗拉基米尔·普京
2%
J.D.万斯
2%
习近平
2%
帕姆·邦迪
2%
梅拉尼娅·特朗普
1%
埃隆·马斯克
1%
坎迪斯·欧文斯
43%
$76,191 交易量
巴拉克·奥巴马
$1,703 交易量
67%
玛乔丽·泰勒·格林
$197 交易量
50%
教皇利奥十四世
$2,320 交易量
29%
塔克·卡尔森
$766 交易量
31%
梅根·凯利
$0 交易量
29%
亚历克斯·琼斯
$1,364 交易量
14%
基尔·斯塔默
$312 交易量
30%
本雅明·内塔尼亚胡
$6,169 交易量
4%
维克多·欧尔班
$3,855 交易量
3%
弗拉基米尔·普京
$3,208 交易量
2%
J.D.万斯
$6,392 交易量
2%
习近平
$11,056 交易量
2%
帕姆·邦迪
$1,587 交易量
2%
梅拉尼娅·特朗普
$8,151 交易量
1%
埃隆·马斯克
$1,667 交易量
1%
坎迪斯·欧文斯
$49 交易量
43%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer at 80% implied probability of a public insult by April 30, reflecting President Trump's recent Truth Social attacks labeling him a "coward," comparing him to Neville Chamberlain, and mocking him as "no Winston Churchill" over Britain's Iran war stance and North Sea drilling reluctance—personal barbs qualifying under market criteria since April 13 launch. Barack Obama follows at 67% amid enduring antagonism, while Pope Leo XIV sits at 39% despite pre-market criticism drawing backlash, with potential for repeat amid foreign policy rebukes. Marjorie Taylor Greene (50%) and Tucker Carlson (30%) reflect GOP tensions over Iran criticism. Upcoming Tax Day remarks in Las Vegas on April 16 and TPUSA speech in Phoenix on April 17 offer key speaking opportunities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
交易量
$76,191结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer at 80% implied probability of a public insult by April 30, reflecting President Trump's recent Truth Social attacks labeling him a "coward," comparing him to Neville Chamberlain, and mocking him as "no Winston Churchill" over Britain's Iran war stance and North Sea drilling reluctance—personal barbs qualifying under market criteria since April 13 launch. Barack Obama follows at 67% amid enduring antagonism, while Pope Leo XIV sits at 39% despite pre-market criticism drawing backlash, with potential for repeat amid foreign policy rebukes. Marjorie Taylor Greene (50%) and Tucker Carlson (30%) reflect GOP tensions over Iran criticism. Upcoming Tax Day remarks in Las Vegas on April 16 and TPUSA speech in Phoenix on April 17 offer key speaking opportunities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$76,191结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer at 80% implied probability of a public insult by April 30, reflecting President Trump's recent Truth Social attacks labeling him a "coward," comparing him to Neville Chamberlain, and mocking him as "no Winston Churchill" over Britain's Iran war stance and North Sea drilling reluctance—personal barbs qualifying under market criteria since April 13 launch. Barack Obama follows at 67% amid enduring antagonism, while Pope Leo XIV sits at 39% despite pre-market criticism drawing backlash, with potential for repeat amid foreign policy rebukes. Marjorie Taylor Greene (50%) and Tucker Carlson (30%) reflect GOP tensions over Iran criticism. Upcoming Tax Day remarks in Las Vegas on April 16 and TPUSA speech in Phoenix on April 17 offer key speaking opportunities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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