Market icon

米奇·麦康奈尔( Mitch McConnell )是否会在任期结束前退出参议院?

Market icon

米奇·麦康奈尔( Mitch McConnell )是否会在任期结束前退出参议院?

22% chance
Polymarket

$101,954 交易量

22% chance
Polymarket

$101,954 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
交易量
$101,954
结束日期
Jan 3, 2027
市场开放时间
Oct 17, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
交易量
$101,954
结束日期
Jan 3, 2027
市场开放时间
Oct 17, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"米奇·麦康奈尔( Mitch McConnell )是否会在任期结束前退出参议院?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"米奇·麦康奈尔会在任期结束前辞去参议院席位吗?",概率为 22%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 22¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 22%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"米奇·麦康奈尔( Mitch McConnell )是否会在任期结束前退出参议院?"已产生 $102K 的总交易量(自Oct 17, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"米奇·麦康奈尔( Mitch McConnell )是否会在任期结束前退出参议院?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"米奇·麦康奈尔( Mitch McConnell )是否会在任期结束前退出参议院?"的当前领先者是"米奇·麦康奈尔会在任期结束前辞去参议院席位吗?",概率为 22%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 22%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"米奇·麦康奈尔( Mitch McConnell )是否会在任期结束前退出参议院?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。