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就业 预测与赔率

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Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

90%

Up

$25.1K 交易量

$353 Liq.

Ends 10 个月内

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

97%

Up

$9.0K 交易量

$1.0K Liq.

Ends 5 天内

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

11%

$24.5K 交易量

$54.7K Liq.

5

Ends 8 个月内

April Unemployment Rate

April Unemployment Rate

31%

4.3%

$33.0K 交易量

$12.8K Liq.

Ends 8 天内

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

46%

5.0%

$371K 交易量

$6.9K Liq.

13

Ends 8 个月内

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

48%

5.0-6.0%

$6.4K 交易量

$2.8K Liq.

Ends 9 个月内

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

7%

$208K 交易量

$12.6K Liq.

35

Ends 8 个月内

How many jobs added in April?

How many jobs added in April?

40%

50k – 100k

$8.5K 交易量

$3.2K Liq.

Ends 8 天内

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

13%

$4.4K 交易量

$559 Liq.

4

Ends 8 个月内

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

50%

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)

$142 交易量

$108 Liq.

1

Ends 9 个月内

Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?

Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?

5%

$36.4K 交易量

$1.1K Liq.

3

Ends 2 个月内

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

11%

$6.4K 交易量

$4 Liq.

1

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

7%

$11.0K 交易量

$640 Liq.

2

Ends 8 个月内

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

70%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$10.0K Liq.

117

Ends 2 个月内

Match Payers above ___ in Q1?

Match Payers above ___ in Q1?

52%

13.6 million

$0 交易量

$65 Liq.

Ends 5 天内

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 4

$102K 交易量

$18.1K Liq.

10

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

59%

Keith Sonderling

$38.2K 交易量

$84.1K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

94%

$170 billion

$77 交易量

$327 Liq.

Ends 大约 1 年内

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

98%

>$600M

$22M 交易量

$771K today

$744K Liq.

296

Ends 2 个月内

Major US official out by April 30?

Major US official out by April 30?

2%

$15.2K 交易量

$13.6K Liq.

9

Ends 大约 4 小时内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 就业 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 119 个活跃的 就业 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $24.9M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? ",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? ",市场目前认为 >$600M 的概率为 98%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 就业 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。