Jerome Powell faces no active criminal proceedings or credible evidence of misconduct that could result in imprisonment before 2027, underpinning the 94.7% market-implied probability for “No.” The prior Department of Justice probe into Federal Reserve headquarters renovations and Powell’s 2025 congressional testimony closed in April 2026 after a federal judge quashed subpoenas, citing zero evidence of fraud or false statements beyond political disagreement. As Fed Chair through at least May 2026, Powell’s institutional role and the central bank’s independence further insulate him from personal liability. While renewed investigations or unforeseen political developments could theoretically alter this trajectory, the absence of substantiated charges supports the strong trader consensus reflected in current odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড5% সম্ভাবনা
নতুন
নতুন
Dec 31, 2026
5% সম্ভাবনা
নতুন
নতুন
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jerome Powell faces no active criminal proceedings or credible evidence of misconduct that could result in imprisonment before 2027, underpinning the 94.7% market-implied probability for “No.” The prior Department of Justice probe into Federal Reserve headquarters renovations and Powell’s 2025 congressional testimony closed in April 2026 after a federal judge quashed subpoenas, citing zero evidence of fraud or false statements beyond political disagreement. As Fed Chair through at least May 2026, Powell’s institutional role and the central bank’s independence further insulate him from personal liability. While renewed investigations or unforeseen political developments could theoretically alter this trajectory, the absence of substantiated charges supports the strong trader consensus reflected in current odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ET
ভলিউম
$5,665শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jerome Powell faces no active criminal proceedings or credible evidence of misconduct that could result in imprisonment before 2027, underpinning the 94.7% market-implied probability for “No.” The prior Department of Justice probe into Federal Reserve headquarters renovations and Powell’s 2025 congressional testimony closed in April 2026 after a federal judge quashed subpoenas, citing zero evidence of fraud or false statements beyond political disagreement. As Fed Chair through at least May 2026, Powell’s institutional role and the central bank’s independence further insulate him from personal liability. While renewed investigations or unforeseen political developments could theoretically alter this trajectory, the absence of substantiated charges supports the strong trader consensus reflected in current odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$5,665শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell faces no active criminal proceedings or credible evidence of misconduct that could result in imprisonment before 2027, underpinning the 94.7% market-implied probability for “No.” The prior Department of Justice probe into Federal Reserve headquarters renovations and Powell’s 2025 congressional testimony closed in April 2026 after a federal judge quashed subpoenas, citing zero evidence of fraud or false statements beyond political disagreement. As Fed Chair through at least May 2026, Powell’s institutional role and the central bank’s independence further insulate him from personal liability. While renewed investigations or unforeseen political developments could theoretically alter this trajectory, the absence of substantiated charges supports the strong trader consensus reflected in current odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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